Tuesday, November 24, 2009

PAKISTAN'S ISI WORKING AGAINST INDIA FROM NORTH AMERICA

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DEVOTED TO THE DEEP ORIGINS OF CONTEMPORARY EVENTS AROUND THE WORLD.

RANA AND HEADLEY LIE AT THE CRUX

Hugh Graham, November 19, 2009.

To many, Tahawwur Hussein Rana is little more than a Pakistan-born Canadian caught up in the obscure Islamist group that pulled off the Mumbai massacre. But there is more to Rana and his Pakistani American colleague David Headley than a terror offensive against India. As the first anniversary of the attacks approaches on November 26, the Indian investigation is getting perilously close to the government of Paskistan; and Rana and Headley, now under arrest in the United States as suspects, lie at the ugly heart of the most serious problem in the world today: the promotion, in shadowy corners of the Pakistani government, of a full scale war –possibly a nuclear war- with India: part of a two-pronged campaign that includes a Taliban victory in Afghanistan.

That is why we must not let the war in Afghanistan distract us from the much larger agenda of a few influential radicals close to the government in Islamabad: to create an Islamist bloc that includes adjacent regions of Muslim India along with Pakistan and Afghanistan. On the surface, President Zardari’s government is trying to be a staunch ally of the West. But his own spy outfit, the Inter-services Intelligence Agency (ISI) has an Islamist history dating back to its role in driving the Soviets out of Afghanistan; and some retired or active ISI and military officers have continued to support Islamist causes, whether at home and in Afghanistan with Al Qaeda and the Taliban, or with groups working against India. Much American aid sent to the Pakistan military has, of course, been diverted to the sections of the ISI in aid of the Taliban. Rana and Headley and their group, Lashkar-e-Taiba, which carried out the Mumbai massacre, seem also to have been beneficiaries.

Earlier this fall, US Secretary of State Hilary Clinton announced plans to earmark military aid to Pakistan with the condition that the armed services be purged of Islamist sympathisers. But that may not be enough. Pakistan is a deeply divided country. The Islamist cause has a large, popular, and potentially explosive following on the street and the government is often loathe to crack down too hard on ISI-linked officials, or the groups they support, like Lashkar-e-Taiba.

Rana and Headley have all but direct connections to the ISI. Abdul Rahman Saeed, the founder of Lashkar-e-Taiba has been described as the organization’s main link to the army and the ISI. It was Saeed who seems to have asked that the two North Americans scout targets for the Mumbai attacks, with Rana acting as paymaster and Headley as his point man in India. Zarar Shah, Lashkar’s communications chief, was the actual liaison to the ISI; India is now seeking his own links to Hedley and Rana. Sajid Mir, formerly in the Pakistan army, is Lashkar’s overseas communications director and it was he who directly contacted Rana and Headley. The man who coordinated the Mumbai killings by phone and text seems to have been Yusuf Muzammil; according to a recent book, Investigating the Mumbai Killings, by Wilson John and Vishwas Kumar, Muzammil directed the operation using ISI offices in Lahore, Pakistan. Finally, Lashkar-e-Taiba contracted out the direct handling of Rana and Headley to Ilyas Kashmiri whose 313 Brigade is a freelance Islamist commando outfit. Kashmir himself is a former ISI commando.

Much of this information comes from Indian investigators and journalists and their fervent desire to see the evil hand of Pakistan’s ISI behind the Mumbai attacks must be taken into account. And yet, the terrible logic of an old, Islamist Pakistan fighting for supremacy against a new, Westernized Pakistan keeps coming to the surface. Middle class Pakistan remains terrified of the popular groundswell commanded by ISI contacts and other Islamists and the religious leaders who preach their cause. After arresting Lashakr-e-Taiba chief Abdul Rahman Saeed in the Mumbai killings, Pakistan released him without sufficient explanation and has now rearrested him but only under pressure from the FBI. The FBI is acutely aware of the leanings of parts of Pakistan’s ISI; it has to be, because Rana and Headley were members of a Lashar-e-Taiba franchise on American soil. Meanwhile, the Obama administration remains publicly silent on the doubleness at the heart of Pakistan and even the FBI is careful about the wording it uses.

In the end, the Islamists want to keep the Pakistani Army on the border with India, leaving the Taliban with a free hand in Afghanistan. An attempt to provoke war with India through the Mumbai massacre was one way of doing that. This is why Rana and Headley are so important: before they were arrested this October, they were believed to be scouting India’s nuclear reactors. That alone, should be warning enough.

DISTANT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS: While India began to fall under British control after 1840, the northwestern or Pakistan region, which was mostly Muslim, wasn't formally acquired until the late 19th century. The western, or Pakistan region, had been relatively content under the British Raj but it was the Muslmis of northern India who fared less well and consequently formed the Muslim League which distinguished itself from the larger and mostly Hindu Indian national Congress. This the Muslims who would in future make up Pakistan, were radicalized. Throughout the 1930s, the Muslim League, led by Mohammed al Jinnah, was increasingly alarmed by the power and size of the Hindu INC. In 1940, with the Lahore Resolution, the League declared that if the lot of Muslims didn't improve, Indian Muslims would move for secession. When India became independent in 1947, the Muslim League, rather than share an India dominated by the vastly Hindu INC and a Hindu majority, seceded to form the state of Pakistan in the western region of Baluchistan, Punjab and the Northwest Frontier.
Pakistan's Governor General was Mohammed al Jinnah. Two things were highly significant. The first was that Pakistan's raison d'etre was religious; it was formed as a Muslim state. Secondly, Pakistan inherited a British-made Indian constitution which was inadequate to a region which, despite being Muslim was ethnically diverse.

In 1956, Pakistan was finally given a constitution which proclaimed it an Islamic republic. Two years later, the country's short-lived democracy ended when President Ayub Khan took power in a coup d'etat. The tension between democracy and dictatorship would inform all of Pakistan's future history, west-leaning secular groups tending toward democracy while Muslim religious parties, alarmed by the threats of modern secularism, tending toward dictatorship. The idea of an Islamic State, meanwhile, seemed to be the only solution for an ethnically divided country. The result, time and again, was to be a dictatorship, to some degree Islamic. Yet that did little to solve Pakistan's most deep-seated political problem- how do you define Muslim in a society in which no one agrees on the definition of what it is to be Muslim? But Islam, undefined, remained the shibboleth. Never a marginal force, Islamic radicalism was always close to the centre of power, whether in the army, in government or in the official opposition. The pattern of secular and Muslim rivalry increased. The secular, nationalist and populist Ali Bhutto was elected President. In 1977, he was overthrown by the Islamist General Zia Ul Haq for dividing the country on his platform of "Islamic socialism." Though Islam would never find an official definition, attempts at secularized forms of Islam would only feed the electoral power of the religious zealots who wanted to exploit the very practice of democracy brought in by westernized elites, to form a state along the lines of a 7th century Caliphate. Nevertheless, Bhutto's family was to become a political dynasty and the accepted spearhead of the secular opposition.

Meanwhile, the ever shifting priorities of US foreign policy arrived at support for the Islamic Mujehadeen of Afghanistan in their resistance to the Soviet invasion of 1979. Ul Haq's Islamist regime received backing by Washington in return for help in arming and training the Afghan rebels. In 1978, Ali Bhutto was executed after being charged with corruption and murder. His daughter, the Oxford-educated Benazir Bhutto inherited the mantle of leader of the secular opposition and in 1984 founded the PPP or Pakistan People'd Party. She and her husband, Asif Ali Zardan like her father, would endure periods of arrest and exile and repeated charges of corruption by Islamist parties and governments. In 1988, General Zia Ul Haq was killed in plane crash, rumoured to be an assassination. In the same year, Benazir Bhutto was elected Prime Minister. In 1990 she was ousted on charges of corruption. She was succeeded as prime minister by Nawaz Sharif, chief councillor of Punjab province. Sharif took on the President's right to fire the Prime Minister head on. A forceful fiscal conservative, he faced down the president and the judiciary, eventually giving the position of prime minister almost despotic power. (Born in 1949 in Lahore, Sharif was the son of a Punjab indistrialist. He obtained a law degree and in 1981 became Finance minister for Punjab where he singificantly advanced rural development. In 1985, he became Chief minister of Punjab. On March 31 1988, he was made caretaker after President Zia Ul Haq dismissed both houses of parliament.) In 1988, the year Bhutto was elected, Sharif was re-elected in Punjab before running for Prime Minister on a conservative, anti-corruption platform. In 1990 Bhutto was ousted on charges of corruption. After the election of Sharaf as Prime Minister in November 1990, he worked with the private sector to strengthen Pakistan's industry and land reform for the peasants of Sindh. Despite US sanctions, he achieved economic progress. But in April, 1993, he was dismissed by the president. He was reinstated by the judiciary but after corruption allegations he had to resign along with the president in July. In 1993 Benazir Bhutto was re-elected. Meanwhile, the MML, a powerful alliance of religious parties, was expressly formed by the ISI to block the election of any secular party as well as to gather or to fabricate corruption charges against Benazir Bhutto. In 1996, Bhutto was duly dismissed, again on charges of corruption. In 1997, Sharif was re-elected prime minister and used his overwhelming majority to strip the president of his constitutional power to dismiss the Prime minister. Sharif made the the position of Prime Minister all-powerful, indeed unassailable to the point of dissenting from the Chief Justice. As a result, the president resigned and the supreme court justice was removed. In 1998, in response to social unrest, he suspended many civil liberties and set up military courts. Throughout his career he had already had several run-ins with chiefs of the military. In 1998, Sharif appointed General Musharraf to head the army. But Sharif angered the army by resisting pressure to give it political power, pulling it out of confrontation with India in Kashmir at the behest of the United States and dismissing its head, General Pervez Musharraf. In February 1999, Sharif signed the Lahore Declaration to normalize relations with India. Under pressure from US president Clinton, he withdrew the army from confrontation with India in Kashmir. Electricity shortages led him to put the army in charge of water and power but rumours of selling out to the generals led him to fire Musharraff. On October 12, 1999, Sharif's government was overthrown by Musharraf in a military coup. Charged with conspiracy, he faced criminal charges when the Saudi kingdom intervened and he was allowed to go to exile in Saudi Arabia. In 1999, Musharraf took power in a bloodless military coup and Sharif went into exile. After Al Qaeda's attacks on the United States on 9/11, Musharraf was coerced into supporting Washington's War on Terror, a campaign which would in fact amount to a war against radical Islam in Pakistan and Afghanistan. The US invaded Afghanistan and overthrew the Taliban obliging Musharraf to take up its fight against the Taliban resistance as well as al Qaeda, which had taken refuge in Pakistan's semi-autonomous tribal agencies. Musharraf, still presiding over an army which was at least in part Islamist and traditionally allied with the religious parties, as well as powerful Islamist elements in the ISI intelligence service, has had to walk a tightrope, on the one hand supporting Washington against the Taliban and al Qaeda and on the other, placating the religious parties and Islamist elements in his own government. In 2002, the ISI helped to form 'the King's party' (PML-Q) or the coalition of relgious parties that won Musharraff his electoral majority that year. If anything he needed them on side while he fought the Taliban for Washington. Marsharraf sent the army into Waziristan after the Taliban in the winter of 2003-2004. They were so badly mauled by the Taliban and its tribal alllies among the Mahsuds and Waziris that two peacve deals were stuck, in 2004 and February 2005, leaving Waziristan and effective Taliban "Emirate". By a September 2006 peace deal, by which the Waziristan Taliban would restrict their operations to Afghanistan and refrain from attacking Pakistani forces , Pakistan withdrew its troops to their bases. In Kashmir, meanwhile, Musharraf has cracked down on Islamist Kashmir separatists and made half-hearted attempts to stop the Afghan Taliban insurgency from hiding out in Pakistan. Faced on the other hand with a strong moderate, secular movement, he was been forced, nevertheless, to turn his attention to the development of a powerful Islamist cell in the Red Mosque, in central Islamabad, right under the nose of his intelligence agencies. bloc which has in turn prevented him from cracking down too hard on the Taliban.


SEE ALSO - MUMBAI TERRORISTS TRACED TO PAKISTAN: 11/27/08


SCROLL DOWN FOR:
Previous entiries on Pakistan
Distant Background to the events.
Relevant Dates
Recent Background to the events.
Remote Background to the events.
Timetable for the History of Pakistan.


PREVIOUS ENTRIES ON PAKISTAN:

3/27/09 Afghan Supply lines (from Pakistan) at root of Canadian deaths.

2/26/09 The Talban's Ancient Geopolitics.
9/10/08 Zardari elected Prime Minister.
8/18/08 Musharraf not to be praised or mourned.
3/25/08- PPP's Gillani is president of Pakistan.
2/20/08- Musharraf loses parliamentary vote.
12/27/07- Benazir Bhutto assassinated.
11/03/07 -Musharraf declares state of emergency.


RELEVANT DATES:
1935- the Government of India Act is established and will become Pakistan’s constitution in 1947.
1947- Britain agrees to the formation of an independent Pakistan, separate from India.
15 August- Pakistan becomes independent, comprising Sindh, Punjab and North-West Frontier with the Durand line remaining as the border between the two nations. The border still cuts through the region of the Pashtun people- despite Afghan claims on the entire Pashtun region, which includes much of the Baluchistan region of western Pakistan. Before departing the British had drawn the frontier between west Pakistan and India in haste, forcing bordering principlalities to join either India or Pakistan. Mohammed Jinnah is Pakistan’s first president.
1956- Pakistan, heretofore governed by the Government of India Act, is proclaimed an Islamic republic and gets its own constitution.
1958- Ayub Khan, frustrated by the democratic process, takes power in a coup d’etat, abolishing Pakistan’s newfound constitution and democracy.
1958- Zulfikar Ali Bhutto (Benazir's father) joins cabinet as minister of commerce.
1963- Ali Bhutto becomes foreign minister
1967- after expulsion from cabinet, Ali Bhutto founds his own secular democratic party.
1971 -Zulfikar Ali Bhutto elected president- begins in a populist, socialist regime. He brings in nationalization and financial independence from the US.
1977- right wing and Islamist opposition to Bhutto leads to a military coup by General Zia Ul-Haq.
1977-1984 after returning from her education at Oxford, Benazir Bhutto, daughter of Ali Bhutto is sentenced to house arrest.
1978-1988 Zia Ul Haq becomes president, imposes martial law, prohibits political activity and introduces Sharia.
1978- Prime Minister Ali Bhutto is arrested by Zia Ul Haq's regime on charges of corruption and murder.
1979- April 4- after being sentenced to death, Bhutto is hanged.
1984- Benazir Bhutto exiled to England with her mother. Benazir Bhotto founds the PPP, the Pakistan People’s Party.
1986- Benazir Bhutto returns to Pakistan and campaigns for fair elections. She marries in 1987.
1988- President Zia Ul-Haq dies at Dhaka in a plane crash.
1988- Aslam Beg, chief of the Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) forms a coalition of religious parties (the IJI) against canddiate Benazir Bhutto. When the relgious coaltion loses, the ISI throws its support behind her rival, Nawaz Sharif, then Chief Minister of Punjab.
1988- Benazir Bhutto elected Prime Minister. She takes Pakistan back into the Commonwealth.
1990- constant challenges from a conservative presidency leads to the dismissal of Benzir’s Bhutto’s government. She is pursued with corruption charges in a campaign believed to be orchestrated by the ISI. She is charged with corruption. Her husband is placed under arrest for corruption.
1990- behind the scenes, the ISI brokers another coalition against Bhutto and raises large amounts of money to back Sharif.
-Nawaz Sharif succeeds Benazir Bhutto as prime minister.
1991- unrest in Sindh. Meanwhile Benazir Bhutto goes on an international lecture tour
1990s- internal instability due to constant charges of political corruption.
1993- Benazir Bhutto leads opposition to Nawaz Sharif,
-Bhutto elected prime minister of a coalition government. Her regime is plagued by crime, the drugs trade, separatist unrest in Balushistan and Sindh and tribal unrest in the north west frontier.
1996- Benazir Bhutto’s government is dismissed by President Leghari on new charges of corruption and mismanagement.
-1997- Feb. Benazir Bhutto is defeated in elections. She is succeeded by Nawaz Sharif and becomes leader of the opposition.
-Sharif removes a constitutional amendment which gives the president the power to dismiss the prime minister.
1998- Sharif resists pressure from the army to allow the generals a say in government.
Oct. Sharif introduces Sharia or Muslim religious laws throughout the country.
1999- Sharif orders the removal of military forces from Kashmir.
1999- Benazir Bhutto removed as a member of parliament and along with her husband is tried, fined and sentenced for corruption.
-Benazir Bhutto chooses self-imposed exile in Dubai, later in London
1999- Premier Nawaz Sharif, though democratically elected, begins to establish Islamic law throughout the country, despite widespread protest.
-Sharif withdraws the army from Kashmir and dismisses its head, General Musharraf, angering the army.
-General Musharraf takes power in a military coup. Musharraf suspends the constitution, asserts control over the judiciary and parliament.
-Nawaz Sharif agrees to go into exile as an alternative to faving criminal charges.
2001- after the 9/11 attacks, Washington coerces Musharraf into supporting the US War on terror. But this gains Pakistan badly needed international loans..
2002- after the US invasion of Afghanistan, the Taliban are pushed into the border tribal areas of Baluchistan.
-Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) helps to form the the King's Party a coalition of Pakistan Muslim parties to back Musharraf's 2002 presidential election capaign. The MMA, a large alliance of religious parties, the King's Party and Bhutto's PPP are the largest parties in parliament.
-many believe the MMA was patched together by the ISI to support Musharraf.
-the MMA forms an alliance with the 'King;s party' to back Musharraf in the elections.
-Musharraf wins presidential elections. He gains 5 more years in office in a referendum criticized as unconstitutional and biased. He awards himself sweeping new powers.-2002- Musharraf election.
-Musharraf gains 5 more years in office in a referendum seen to be rigged and unconstituional. He awards himself new, sweeping powers.
-after Musharraf is elected, an amendment known as the 'legal framework order' gives him a five year term plus power over many civil institutions and the power to dismiss national and state assemblies. The MMA is indispensable in getting the 'Legal Framework Order' passed into law. The parliament becomes Musharraf's instrument.
-parliament is deadlocked with increased power from the religious parties.
2004-2005- due to losses in the Waziristan offensive against the Taliban and al Qaeda, Pakistan makes various peace deals with local Taliban-supporting tribes. The Taliba effectively control Waziristan.
2007- -January- tensions increase around the radical Red Mosque in Islamabad.
-9 March-mass protests follow Musharraff’s suspension of Pakistan’s Chuef Justice Iftakar Mohammed Choudhury for abuse of power. Chouhury has been probing the armed forces about cases of missing persons.
-11 July- after a week-long stand off, security forces storm and seize the Red Mosque, killing over 80 militants.
-in the wake of the assault on the red Mosque, Waziristan and Pakistan erupt in revenge suicide and bomb attacks. In response to the violence and to US threats to pursue the Taliban inside Pakistan, Musharraf resume the military campaign inside Waziristan.
-20 July- the Supreme Court reinstates Justice Choudhury
-August- Benazir Bhutto holds secret talks with Musharraf about returning to Pakistan to form a partnership with him in upcoming elections providing he resgins from the army.
-Aug. 23- the Supreme Court decides Nawaz Sharif can return to Pakistan.
Sept. 8- General Musharraf has Sharif arrested upon his return to Pakistan. Sharif is exiled again to Saudi Arabia- in defiance of the Supreme Court's August ruling.
-14 September- Bhutto says she will return from exile in London in mid-October.
-16 September- Pakistan's electoral commission amends a clause stating that a government servant cannot run for office without first being retired from their position for two years. A public servant can now run without leaving office. The amended clause would allow President Musharraf to run again for president. Musharraf's term as president expires November 15.
-18 September- presidential lawyers say that Musharraf will step down as army chief only if he is elected president.
-Oct. 5-in a deal with Musharraf opposition PPP leader Benazir Bhutto agrees to abstain rather than to boycott the Pakistan election if the charges against her are dropped before she returns from exile in London.
-Oct. 6- Musharraf sweeps the elections.
-Oct. 12- 2 suicide bombs directed at Bhutto's convoy from airport, kill donzens, upon her return from British exile.
-November- Musharraf declares emergency rule claiming Islamist threats to the government. Opponents charge him with attempting to lengthen his dictatorship as he uses the emergency to sack the Supreme Court on the eve of its decision about the legitimacy of his election as president while still chief of the army.
-Bhutto placed under house arrest as she plans a march against emergency rule.
-Musharraf says he will work with Bhuttto.
-Musharraf brings in a caretaker government.
-the chief election commissioner determines that elections for Prime Minister will be held on January 8, 2008.
-the election commission ratifies Musharraf's second five-year term in office.
-Nawaz Sharif allowed to return from exile.
-Musharraf hands over command of the Armed Forces to General Ashfaq Kayani.
-Bhutto says she may boycott the January 8 election.
-December 15- Musharraf ends the state of emergency, restores constitution.
-December 27- Bhutto is shot to death as suicide bombers hit her retinue after a rally in Rawalpindi.
2008- January -Musharraf postpones January 8 elections to February 18 due to instability.
-20 police killed at an anti-Musharraf rally outside the High Court in Lahore.
-Feb 18- the PPP and the PML-N sweep parliamentary elections, reducing Musharraf's PML Q.
The PPP's Asif Bhutto and the PML-N's Nawaz Sharif consider a coalition to oust Musharraf.

RECENT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS: In January, 2007, tensions developed around the Islamist Red Mosque. Then, in the spring, mass protests erupted against Musharraf's firing of Pakistan's chief justice, Iftakar Mohammed Choudhury on charges of misusing his post. Choudhury, an activist judge, had often demanded the investigation of the country's intelligence services on the issue of missing persons and other matters involving military rule.
It appears the anger about his dismissal was shared both by Islamist and democratic opponents of the government. Meanwhile, weeks of conflict involving Pakistan's Islamist extremists finally culminated in the army's assault on the Red Mosque and the killing of most of its radical defenders which led in turn to counter-attacks by Islamists all around the counrty. To make matters worse for Musharraf, the Supreme Court reinstated Choudhury. With Musharraff weakened by the Choudhury and Red Mosque affairs, Benazir Bhutto, in exile in England, chose the moment to gamble on a return to Pakistan by offering Musharraff a political partnership. As sole viable opposition leader it seemed a wise move. Moreover the return of her old adversary, Nawaz Sharif was nipped in the bud when when Musharraf had him arrested and exiled again at the airport September 8. The future of Pakistan is more likely being played in the Supreme Court than it is on the electoral field. On September 16, the court declared that a civil servant, contrary to former rulings can run for office without a mandatory two years absence from his post- clearing the way for Musharraf to run in elections. He had to abide by a promise to resign his army post upon taking office. He had to honour a pledge for Benazir Bhutto to return to Pakistan on October 17 free of corruption charges in return for having her her PPP party abstain instead of voting against him. Such was the atmosphere in Pakistan that Bhutto, arriving from exile in Britain, narrowly escaped death from a suicide attack on her convoy. On November 3, Musharraf declared a state of emergency allegedly on the grounds of a conspiracy from religious militants, though it was generally believed that he was merely lengthening his rule; and indeed he used the emergency to sack supreme court justices before they made a decision on the legitimacy of his election victory while still in uniform. Many of his political opponents were imprisoned; all political activity was banned; there was a crackdown on the media and Bhutto was placed under temporary house arrest to prevent her from leading a rally against the state of emergency. Musharraf promised elections for the post of Prime Minister on January 8 but most doubted that they would be free and fair. On December 15 he ended the state of emergency and restored the constitution, causing some question as to whether the state of emergency had indeed been imposed because of a threat from militants. On December 27, Bhutto, while campaigning in Rawalindi, was assassinated in a suicide bomibing. Nawaz Sharif was the only significant candidate left standing in what appeared to an opposition vacuum, until the PPP declared Bhutto's 19 year old son her successor at the head of the party with her widowed husband Asif Ali Zardari acting as regent in what seems more than ever to be a dynasty. Sharif, meanwhile, instructed his own party to boycott the January vote. Suspicions that Musharaff, through negligence or conspiracy allowed the assassination to happen, resulted in widespread rioting verging on anarchy. At the beginning of 2008, Musharraf postponed the election from January 8 to February 19 on grounds of bad security. In the run-up to the elections, suicide bombings took dozens of lives. The intention, most likely, was to prevent what was almost certain to be the return of moderate secular and moderate relgious parties to power.
Nevertheless, Pakistan had the courage to vote.

REMOTE BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS. From ancient times, the region of the Indus river lay at the frontier between invasion from west and central Asia and the empires of the Indian subcontinent. In the third millenium BC, the Aryans invaded from Central Asia. The Indus, which runs southward from the highlands of Central Asia and forms northwest India's natural border with continental Asia, would provide a route of invasion and migration into India for millennia to come. In the fourth and third centuries BC, the Maurya empire of the Indian subcontinent governed the region as far as Afghanistan. In the early centuries AD, the region of the Indus was invaded and ruled by the Kushans of Central Asia. Thenceforward, southeastward expansion from Asia would form the pattern up until British rule in the 19th century. In 711, Arabs invaded, establishing Islam in the region of Pakistan. Mahmud of Ghazni an Afghan warlord of the Abbasid Caliphate, continued the pattern of conquest from the northwest, conquering Sindh, crossing the Indus and plundering northern India. In the 13th century, the Mongol invasions penetrated the region from the north. In the early16th century, a Central Asian Muslim warlord took the region again. Babur established his rule from central Asia to northern India and founded the empire of the Moghuls which would last until British rule. The late 16th century saw a rare reversal of the pattern in which the Moghul emperor Akbar, from his base in northern India, reconquered Sindh and Afghanistan- establishing enlightened rule and an attempted synthesis of Hinduism and Islam. In the eighteenth century, even as Britain began to colonize India, Persian and Afghan Muslim warlords established brief empires extending south and east across the Indus and into northern, Moghul India. With the British occupation of Sindh, West Punjab, Baluchistan and the Northwest in the late 19th century, the old pattern of conquest from the northwest ended.




TIMELINE FOR THE HISTORY OF PAKISTAN:

-the region west of India encompassing what is now Baluchistan, the Northwest Frontier, West Punjab and Sindh.

3000-1750 BC- the highly developed civilization of Mohenjo-Daro on the Indus River.

1500 –600 BC- migration of Indo-Aryan peoples into western and northern India. Vedic religion develops.

540-512- Persian conquests of northwest India.

327- Alexander the Great takes parts of northwest India.

The Mauryas

321-185 BC- the Mauryan empire- the subcontinent’s first state system which stretches from Afghanistan to southern India.

303 BC- the Greek successor to Alexander, Seleucus is expelled from northwest India and Afghanistan as Changragupta Maurya extends an empire of the central Ganges up to Kabul, Herat and Kandahar.

269-232 BC- 3rd Mauryan ruler, Ashoka, establishes Buddhism in the region.

The Kushans

1-200 AD- the Central Asian Kushan empire rules from north India to Afghanistan to Central Asia.

-the Kushans, caught between pressure from the Hsiang-Nu Chinese in the east and Persia in the west, invade Afghanistan and Sind before conquering part of northern India. The route southeast from central Asia to the Gangetic plain of northern India will be used for repeated invasions, the invaders always coming from the Afghan region and the north.

140 AD- Under Kanishka, the Kushan Empire extends into northern India. Afghanistan is divided between the Kushan Empire on the North and the Parthian empire to the south.

67 AD- the Kushan people, having prevailed from among the Yue Chi, form in force on the northern edges of Afghanistan and displace the Suren dynasty from northern India.

230 AD- the Kushan Empire dissolves into principlalities which rule until 400.

Islam

650 (circa) the Pratihara kingdom stops the Arabs of Sindh from overrunning Rajasthan.

711- Muslim Arabs conquer the Indus valley.

800- Western Afghanistan is the Khorasan region of the Abbasid Empire. Eastern Afghanistan, including Kabul and Kandahar is in the non-Islamic tribal region of the Indus. There is already a circular trade route anticipating the modern ring road from Kandahar to Kabul in the east to Balkh in the north and to Herat in the west.

1020- Mahmud of Ghazni (971-1030), an East Afghanistan Turkic warlord and mercenary for the Abbasid Muslims, is granted autonomy, as 'Sultan' to form his own dynasty.

1000-1027- in 17 raids, Mahmoud of Ghazni conquers a brigand's empire stretching from Kurdistan through Sindh to the Indus. Mahmoud's campaigns are against the Shia Fatimids and non-Muslims like Buddhists and Hindu India. Has a reputation as a bloodthirsty tyrant.

1173-1206- Muhammad of Ghur, another Turkic warlord from Central Asia, also takes Sindh, crosses the Indus, conquering all of northern India and establishing a capital at Delhi which is to remain the capital of Muslim India. His sultanate will last until the arrival of the Moghuls in 1526.

1221- Gengis Khan and the Mongols penetrate the Punjab region.

1296-1306- a subsequent Mongol invasion of northern India is repelled by the sultans of Delhi.

1300- the Valley of the Indis is ruled by the Delhi Sultanate.

1346-1564- Vijayanagar: the last Hindu resistance to Muslim rule.

1398- the central Asian Warlord, Tamerlane, takes Sindh, crosses the Indus and sacks Delhi.

The Moghuls.

1483- the Muslim conqueror Babur fails to establish a kingdom in his native Uzbekistan and instead takes Herat and Kandahar, making them the centre of his future empire.

1545- Kabul is annexed as a Moghul military and administrative area.

1526-761- the region was ruled by the Moghul Emperors.

1526- Babur, the first Moghul, invades India, takes the Gangetic plain and founds the Moghul Empire in India.. A Central Asian warlord, his Moghul empire includes Afghanistan and India.

1540-1545- Babur’s son Humayun loses control to the Afghan chieftan Sher Shah.

1546- battle of Panipat: Humayun’s son Akbar the Great recovers the area from the Afghans, extending it to Deccan.

1542-1605- in a rare reversal of the pattern of invasion, Akbar reasserts control over northern India and crosses the Indus to conquer Sindh and Afghanistan. Liberal and enlightened, he establishes tolerance and attempts to form a synthethis of Hinduism and Islam called the Divine Faith.

1585- the Sikhs are autonomous in the region of Lahore, Pakistan.

1658-1707- the Mogul emperor Aurangzeb pushes the boundaries of the empire southward.

The Marathas- coastal Western India.

1659- Shivaji (1627-1680) gathers local hill-dwellers of Bijapur against the Moghuls. The Moghuls send a force against him but he defeats them.

1660s- Shivaji gains power- his locality growing as a “robber state” by extracting protection money.

1674-1680- Shivaji makes himself Raja of Maratha kingdom in west India as the Moghul empire declines.

-the Emperor Aurangzeb’s defence of the Muslims at the expense of the Hindus leads to war with the Marathas.

The British

1700-1800- the British consolidate their trading power in India through the East India company, taking advantage of the weakened Moghul emperor, Aurangzeb, and make India a British colony.

Nadir Shah

1738- Nadir Shah of Persia invades Afghanistan and northern India, his empire lasting only until his assassination in 1747.

Ahmad Shah

1747- Ahmad Shah (of the Saddozai family, Abdali clan) commander of Nadir's body guard, takes the name Durrani, meaning 'Pearl of the Age' and establishes the Durrani dynasty of Afghanistan, unites varied tribes in southern Afghanistan around their common link: the Pashtun language. He invades the Gangetic plain of India conquering and weakening the last Moghul emperor Aurangzeb. The modern Afghan nation begins to take shape. His empire extends from near the Caspian Sea to India.

-1750- under British and Afghan pressure, the Moghul empire shrinks to an area around Delhi.

-in west, coastal India, the Maratha empire becomes a confederacy of leading local families: Bhonsle, Gaekwad, Holkar and Sindia) under hereditary ministers (Peshwas).

-the Peshwa of Maratha asks for British intervention to settle an internal dispute.

1761- Ahmad Shah defeats the Marathas of India at Panipat

1775-82- first British-Maratha war.

1803-1805- second British-Maratha war.

1818- the Marathas destroyed in a third war with the British.

British Acquire Sindh, Punjab.

-1840s- the region fell under British rule.

1849- -the British atke over the Frontier region from the Sikhs. the Deputy Commissioner, Dera Ismail Khan (NWFP)and Bannu controls all political matters in Waziristan- even though the tribes of neighbouring North Waziristan are under the sovereignty of the Kabul government.

-in Waziristan on the border with Afghanistan, two Pashtun tribes, the Waziris and the Mahsuds use the mountainous region to resist British rule.

1860- 3000 Mahsud tribesmen attack a British regiment base in Tank (present South Waziristan).

1876- Baluchistan becomes a British protectorate.

-birth of Mohammed Jinnah.

1890- the British acquire west Punjab.

1893- the British acquire northern Balushistan.

1893-November , the Emir of Afghanistan signs a treaty renouncing all claims to Waziristan and the North West Frontier territories.

1893- the Durand line forms the limit of British territorial expansion into the Pashtun territories of Afghanistan. The Pashtun region, which had once defined Afghanistan, is split by the new boundary with Afghanistan. Western Pakistan is ceded to British India.

The Durand Line cuts through both Baloch and Pashtun tribes.

1894-95- Extensive British military operations against tribal insurgents in Waziristan.

1904- large scale disturbances in SouthWaziristan resulting murder of the Political Agent and Militia Commandant at Sarwakai

1906- founder of Pakistan, Mohammed Jinnah, joins the Indian National Congress.

1910- North Waziristan is made by the British into a full fledged agency

- the Durand line allows for the border territory of Waziristan to be autonomous, outside of effective British rule. Instead, the British ruled by paying subsidies to tribal chieftains.

-otherwise, the Pakistan region remains generally loyal to the British Raj; its inhabits fare relatively well under the British Raj and are well represented in the army and in government.

-but in northern India, where Muslims fare less well, the Muslim League is formed. Its leader, Jinnah, demands greater rights for Indian Muslims.

1913- in India, Mohammed Jinnah joins the Muslim League.

1915- because of the stresses of World War I, the Brtish make a peace deal in Waziristan. But instead, Waziri tribes attack, inflicting heavy losses on the British. The British retalliate with aerial ombardment.

1919- British road building and fortification i Waziristan only results in more bloody tribal attacks.

1919- the Third Afghan War. Pashtun tribes under Afghan warlord Ananullah, on both sides of the Durand line, defeat the British. The British concede nationhood to Afghanistan by the Treaty of Kabul. Ananullah attempts westernizing reforms.

The Hindu Indian National Congress vs. the Muslim League.

1930s- Ghandi’s vastly Hindu Indian National Congress, makes it more urgent for the Muslims in the north to form some sort of defensive association.

-as Muslims become marginalized, Mohammed Jinnah steps up the rhetoric of the Muslim League.

1931- seeing little hope in the face of the INC, Jinnah resigns.

1935- Jinnah returns to the Muslim League under popular pressure and reorganizes it along nationalist lines.

1935- the Government of India Act is established and will become Pakistan’s constitution in 1947.

1937- the Muslim league fares badly in Indian elections.

1940, March 23- The Pakistan or Lahore Resolution- Muslims declare that if their lot doesn’t improve, they’ll move toward creating a separate homeland. This is especially popular in the Muslim majority states of the northwest.

1945-1946- the Muslim league makes a powerful showing in provincial elections in India.

-Lord Mountbatten urges the secession of Pakistan.

Indian Independence, Formation of Pakistan.

1947- India becomes independent.

1947- Britain agrees to the formation of an independent Pakistan, separate from India.

-on partition of the sub-continent , the tribal leaders of Waziristan agreed to be a part of Pakistan, but with special terms and conditions.

15 August- Pakistan becomes independent, comprising Sindh, Punjab and North-West Frontier with the Durand line remaining as the border between the two nations. The border still cuts through the region of the Pashtun people- despite Afghan claims on the entire Pashtun region, which includes much of the Baluchistan region of western Pakistan. Before departing the British had drawn the frontier between west Pakistan and India in haste, forcing bordering principlalities to join either India or Pakistan.

-As Governor General, Mohammed Jinnah is Pakistan’s first head of state.

-East Pakistan formerly East Bengal, 1000 miles distant, is included in the new Pakistan.

-an exodus of about 5 million Sikhs and Hindus from West Pakistan into India.

1947- after much bloodshed, the western region separates from India to from the independent Muslim state of West Pakistan, and, on the other side of India in East Bengal, of East Pakistan.

-tension develops between populous East Pakistan and the dominance of West Pakistan which has the vast majority of educated government personnel

-North West Pakistan remains restive because of a history of devout Islam and relative autonomy under the British, while Pnjab has a history of close participation in the British administration.

-unable to find a constituion to govern its discordant entities, Pakistan will be governed by the Government of India act until 1956.

-August 14, 1947- death of Mohammed Jinnah, founder of Pakistan.

Pakistan-Afghan Tensions

-Afghan king Zahir Shah claims the Pathan (western Pashtun) state from Pakistan. Meanwhile, he extracts support from both the US and the Soviet Union

--the Waziristan tribes, led by the Faqir of Ipi, receive arms from Afghanistan which agitates for a fully independent Pashtunistan of all pashtun borderlands, including Waziristan.

-but Waziristan frnally becomes part of Pakistan with Pakistani independence. Pakistan still rules Waziristan as the British did, with subsidied paid to tribal chieftains.

1948 -Afghanistan opposes formation of Pakistan, refusing to accept the Durand line- starting rivalry between them.

-Pakistan moves thousands of Pashtuns into the border area as a bulwark between Baluchis and Afghanistan

Kashmir

1948-the Raja of Kashmir, Hari Singh, a Hindu, finds himself ruling an area with a Muslim majority. After a Pakistan-supported Muslim uprising in west Kashmir, India offers help, provided that Kashmir then becomes part of India. Pakistan, angey that it wasn;t consulted, supports the Muslim insurgents.

1949- the UN brokers a caesefire in Pakistan’s skirmish with India over Jammu and Kashmir. A planned UN-sponsored pleiscite over the fate of the area is never held.

1949- Cease-fire Line of Control (LOC) drawn between Kashmir and Pakistan

1950- Ayub Khan appointed first chief of the Pakistan military.

1956- Mar 23- Pakistan, heretofore governed by the Government of India Act, is proclaimed an Islamic republic and gets its own constitution.

1958- Oct 7- President Iskander Mirza annuls the constitution and declares martial law, turning powers over to army chief Ayub Khan.

Ayub Khan

1958- Ayub Khan, frustrated by the democratic process, takes power in a coup d’etat, abolishing Pakistan’s newfound constitution and democracy.

1958- Zulfikar Ali Bhutto joins cabinet as minister of commerce.

1962- Ayub Khan brings in a new constitution enacting "basic democracy" or local democracy while abolishing democracy at the national level.

1963- Ali Bhutto becomes foreign minister.

1965- war breaks out as India occupies Muslim Kashmir. Russia’s Kosygin brokers a caese-fire.

1967- after expulsion from cabinet, Ali Bhutto founds his own secular democratic party.

1969- Ayub Khan resigns due to economic difficulties.

1970- democratic elections. Yahya Khan is president.

Civil War with East Pakistan

1971- When East Pakistan’s Awammi league wins the elections, West Pakistan, under Yahya Khan refuses to recognize the result. East Pakistan breaks away from West Pakistan in a civil war and becomes independent as Bangladesh.

-the civil war embraces Kashmir. India intervenes on behalf of Mujibur Rahman and the Awami League.

-fighting breaks out on the western India-Pakistan frontier.

Ali Bhutto

-Zulfikar Ali Bhutto elected president- begins in a populist, socialist regime. He brings in nationalization and financial independence from the US.

1972- India prevails in an uneasy peace. Cease-fire line between Kashmir and Pakistan (Line of Control) reasserted. Under the Simla agreement both sides agree to settle future disputes by negotiation.

1973- due to the OPEC oil crisis, Pakistan is thrown into economic turmoil.

1974- India tests its first nuclear bomb.

General Zia Ul Haq overthrows the Bhuttos

1977- right wing and Islamist opposition to Bhutto leads to a military coup by General Zia Ul-Haq.

1977-1984 after returning from her education at Oxford, Benazir Bhutto, daughter of Ali Bhutto is sentenced to house arrest.

1978- Prime Minister Ali Bhutto is arrested by Zia Ul Haq's regime on charges of corruption and murder.

July 5- Bhutto is released.

July 29- Bhutto begins campaigning for his return to power.

Sept 3- Bhutto is re-arrested and freed on bail September 13.

Sept 17- Bhutto is imprisoned.

Oct 24.- Bhutto is tried for vote rigging, corruption and the murder of a political opponent.

1979- April 4- after being sentenced to death, Bhutto is hanged.

1978-1988 Zia Ul Haq becomes president, imposes martial law, prohibits political activity and introduces Sharia.

On behalf of U.S., Pakistan backs the Afghan Mujehadeen against the Soviets.

1979- Zia ul Haq repairs US relations by backing the US- supported Afghan Muhehadeen against the Soviet invasion. US support leads to high economic growth throughout the 1980s.

-Pakistan takes on 3 million Afghan refugees.

1984- Benazir Bhutto exiled to England with her mother. Benazir takes leadership of the PPP, the Pakistan People’s Party.

-the US arms Pakistan to back the Afghan Mujehadeen against the Soviet Union. This escalates the arms race between India and Pakistan.

-Quetta, Baluchstan becomes a base for Afghan Mujehadeen fighting the Societs.

-Sunni radical madrassas of Pakistan supported by Saudi Arabia, that began in the 1980s- are seen as a bulwark against Iran. They in turn give rise to the Taliban. So the Taliban arise from the confrontnation of Saudi Arabia with Iran.

-in south Asia, Shia are assertive- so India and Pakistan (largest Shia pop at 30 million, after Iran) become the battleground of Saudi-Iranian rivalry in the 80s and 90s.

-India and Pakistan have both acquired nuclear weapons.

1986- the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation is established and relieves tension between the two nuclear powers.

Return of Benazir Bhutto

1986- Benazir Bhutto returns to Pakistan and campaigns for fair elections. She marries in 1987.

1980s-1990s- Islamist groupb Lashkar-e-Toiba first fights Soviets in Afghanistan then switches to Kashmir

1988- President Zia Ul-Haq killed at Dhaka in a plane crash.

-Ul Haq’s successor, President Ishaq Khan brings back democracy.

Benazir Bhutto Prime Minister.

1988- Aslam Beg of the Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) forms a coalition of religious parties (the IJI) against Bhutto. When the relgious coaltion loses, the ISI throws its support behind her rival, Nawaz Sharif, then Chief Minister of Punjab.

1988- Benazir Bhutto elected Prime Minister. She takes Pakistan back into the Commonwealth.

1990- constant challenges from a conservatrive presidency leads to the dismissal of Benzir’s Bhutto’s government. She is charged with corruption charges in an offensice believed to be backed by the ISI. Her husband is also placed under arrest for corruption.

Bhutto Ousted.

1990- ISI brokers another coalition against Bhutto and raises large amounts of money to back Sharif gainst Bhutto

-Nawaz Sharif succeeds Benazir Bhutto as prime minister in an election believed to have been rigged with the assistance of the ISI.

1991- unrest in Sindh. Meanwhile Benazir Bhutto goes on an international lecture tour

1990s- internal instability due to constant charges of political corruption.

Bhutto re-elected.

1993- Benazir Bhutto leads opposition to Nawaz Sharif,

-Bhutto elected prime minister of a coalition government. Her regime is plagued by crime, the drugs trade, separatist unrest in Balushistan and Sindh and tribal unrest in the north west frontier.

- after her election, Bhutto is forced to relinquish all decision-making on nuclear matters to the army, in return for its support.

-Bhutto goes on to purge much of the military general staff of ISI supporters. As a result the military chief, Aslan Beg, (a loyalist of the one-time Zia Ul Haw distatorship) gets her excluded from all military decision-making.

-Harkat ul Ansar for Kahsmir Liberation, founded with the help, arms and training of the ISI-. It is a fusion of two Afhgan Jihadist groups Harkat ul Jihad al-Islami and Harkat ul Mujahideen. The leader of harkat ul Absar si Amjad Farooqi.

-the British-made Durand line lapses after 100 years.. Tribal leaders don’t recognize it. It is said to be "marked out on water'. Pakistan wants Kabul to accept the line. Kabul is reluctant to lose its claim to "south Pashtunistan." (Balushistan)

1994- the Taliban, bolstered and supported (and some say, founded) by Pakistan’s Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) in Quetta, Pakistan,- crosses into Afghanistan and takes Kandahar .

-the Taliban refuse to accept the Durand line that determines the border with Pakistan.

Bhutto Dismissed.

-1995- Bhutto encourages the formation of the Taliban, seeing it as a friendly Muslim party that will link Pakistan to trade with Central Asia.

1996- Benazir Bhutto’s government is dismissed by President Leghari on new charges of corruption and mismanagement.

1997- Feb. Benazir Bhutto is defeated in elections. She is succeeded by Nawaz Sharif and becomes leader of the opposition.

-Sharif removes a constitutional amendment which gives the president the power to dismiss the prime minister.

1998- Sharif resists pressure from the army to allow the generals a say in government.

Oct. 1- Sharif brings in Islamic law.

1999- Benazir Bhutto removed as a member of parliament and along with her husband is tried, fined and sentenced for corruption.

-Benazir Bhutto chooses self-imposed exile in Dubai.

1999- Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, though democratically elected, puts water and power under the control of the army.

-Sharif begins to establish Islamic law throughout the country, despite widespread protest.

-Sharif withdraws the army from Kashmir and dismisses its head, General Musharraf, angering the army.

-Musharraf dismisses Sharif. Sharif agrees to go into exile rather than face criminal charges.

General Musharraf seizes power.

-General Musharraf takes power in a military coup. Musharraf suspends the constitution, asserts control over the judiciary and parliament.

The Lahore Declaration and Renwed Problems in Kashmir.

1999-Lahore Declaration. India and Pakistan swear to settle differences by negotiation.

1999- 600 Islamic militia from Pakistan occupy Indian Kashmir, provoking retaliatory air strikes from India.

9/11: Musharaff Sides with Washington.

2001- after the 9/11 attacks, Washington coerces Musharraf into supporting the US War on terror. But this gains Pakistan badly needed international loans.

-India and Pakistan mass troops along the LOC as tensions build again in Kashmir.

-to placate angry Islamists, Musharraf takes a softer policy on Kashmir.

-PPP member Raza Gillani convicted by Musharraf's anti-corruption court of making illegal government appointments. He serves five years in jail. The PPP claims the prosecution was aimed at forcing PPP members to join the Musharraf government

-Dec 13, - attack on Indian parliament carried out by Pakistan-based militant groups, Jaish e Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Toiba

2002- after the US invasion of Afghanistan, the Taliban are pushed into the border tribal areas of Baluchistan.

-Pakistan begins a troop build-up along the border with Afhganistan.

-Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) helps to form the the King's Party a coalition of Pakistan Muslim parties to back his election as president. The MMA, a large alliance of religious parties, the King's Party and Bhutto's PPP are the largest parties in parliament.

-many believe the MMA was patched together by the ISI to support Musharraf.

-the MMA forms an alliance with the 'King;s party' to back Musharraf in the elections.

Musharraf Consolidates Power, extends Dictatorship,

-Musharraf wins presidential elections. He gains 5 more years in office in a referendum criticized as unconstitutional and biased. He awards himself sweeping new powers.-2002- Musharraf election.

-after Musharraf is elected, an amenndment known as the 'legal framework order' gives him a five year term plus the power over many civil institutions and the power to dismiss national and state assemblies. The MMA is indispensable in getting the 'Legal Framework Order' passed into law. The parliament becomes Musharraf's instrument.

-Musharraf bans the Islamist groups Lashkar-e-Toiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad.

-Parliamentary elections result in a deadlock with increased power for the religious parties.

-Pakistan tests missiles that have nuclear capability.

Daniel Pearl.

-Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl is murdered in Karachi by decapitation while investigating local links to the 9/ll attack. His killer , Ahmed Omar Saeed Sheikh of the
Jaish e Mohammed Islamist group is later arrested and executed.

The Islamist Threat and the ISI

2003- the Northwest Frontier Province votes for Sharia law.

-when Misharraf considers cracking down on the Taliban, his main supporter, the MMA sponsors mass demonstrations and thretens to withdraw its support

-Washington asks the ISI to hand over al Qaeda militants, but the ISI only hands over foreign Al Qaeda foot soldiers.

-ceasefire between India and Pakistan in Kashmir.

-Dec. attempt on Musharraf’s life as his motorcade is bombed.

-2003-2004- winter. The Pakistan army launches assaults against the Taliban and al Qaeda in Waziristan.

2004- nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan admits to having leaked nuclear secrets to North Korea. He is placed under house arrest to placate Washington.

-Sunni-Shia violence in Karachi.

-March and June offensives against al Qaeda in the Afghan border area.

-Musharraf extends his term as head of the army.

- assassination attempt on Pakistan Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz.

-afer Islamist leader Amjad Farooqi is killed in shoot out with police in Karachi, Matiur Rehman takes his place.

-Matiur Rehman -alleged to have been involved in bombing of the Sheraton Hotel in Karachi.

2004-2005- due to losses in the Waziristan offensive against the Taliban and al Qaeda, Pakistan makes various peace deals with local Taliban-supporting tribes. The Taliba effectively control Waziristan.

-Dec. 2005- Abu faraj al-Libbi- al Queada leader No. 3- involved in an attempt on Musharraff at Rawalpindi. Libbi is arrested in Mardan. Matiur Rehman is wanted in connection ith the same plot.

-July 2005- Rehman invovled in another plot on Musharraf- disrupted by police.

2005- Baluchistan tribal militants bomb natural gas plant, forcing its closure.

-after July transit bombings in London, 200 militants from radical madrasas and elsewhere are detained in Pakistan

-an earthquake kills tens of thousands in Muzaffarabad.

2006- Pakistani civilians killed in a US missile strike near the Pakistan border in Waziristan.

15-17 Feb.- Afghan President Karzai visits Musharaff to ask him to stop Taliban infiltration from Pakistan. Karzai identifies Afghan commaders in Quetta among other areas of Pakistan. Musharraf says Afghan intelligence is unreliable and complains to Karzai about weapons smuggling into Bluchistan.

-Feb-March- Sunni-Shia violence in Karachi.

-March- attack on the US consulate kills State Dept FSO David Foy . Matiur Rehman is a leading suspect in planning the attack. Jundullah, reportedly led by Rahaman, may have been involved.

mid-July- Pakistani gov't orders crackdown on Taliban: police arrest more than 200 Afghans in Baluchistan- allegedly many were not Taliban.

The London Airline Terror PLot.

-Aug. 2- Pakistani security arrests Rashid Rauf in attempted London airline bombings. Still at large, his superior, Matiur Rehman worked as deputy for Amjad Farooqi’s Harkat ul Ansar- for Kahsmir Liberation

-Pakistan's SSG discovers through the arrest of Rashid Rauf that Lakshar –e- Toiba is linked to a terror group in the UK. Lashkar-e-Toyaba is also blamed for the Mumbai train bombings in July.

-many of the 9 London airline plot suspects arrested in Pakistan are 'facilitators' linked to Jiash e Mohammed and Lashkar e Toiba which provide safe houses and funds.

-Sept- Pakistan signs a treaty in Waziristan with the Taliban, promising that the army will withdraw to its bases, provided that the Taliban restrict their attacks to Afghanistan.

-Oct. -many of the British Pakistanis later suspected in the August 2006 attempted airline bombings in London travelled to Muzaffarabad as humanitarian earthquake relief in Jamiat ud Dawa, whose umbrella organization is Lashakr e Toiba. Membrs of the al Qaeda-linked Jundullah, a Pakistani terror group took them to training camps in Waziristan before returning to relief camps.

Oct. -raid on a seminary in Bajaur in the border tribal agencies, kills up to 80. Anti-government protests follow.

-Oct. -many of the British Pakistanis later suspected in the August 2006 attempted airline bombings in London travelled to Muzaffarabad as humanitarian earthquake relief in Jamiat ud Dawa, whose umbrella organization is Lashakr e Toiba. Membrs of the al Qaeda-linked Jundullah, a Pakistani terror group took them to training camps in Waziristan before returning to relief camps.

The Red Mosque.

2007- Pakistan rejects US claims that al Qaeda members are hiding in Pakistan.

-January- tensions increase around the radical Red Mosque in Islamabad.
-Feb-April- local tribes in Waziristan turn against foegin Taliban fighters for criminal activities and disrupting public order.

-Feb- the Mariott hotel in Islamabad is bombed.

-the New-Dehhi, India-Lahore Pakistan train is bombed, killing 68, mostly Pakistanis.

Musharraf Dismisses Chief Justice Chaudhoury

-9 March-mass protests follow Musharraff’s suspension of Pakistan’s Chief Justice Iftakar Mohammed Choudhury for abuse of power.

-March-April- 250 killed in clashes between South Waziristan tribesmen and al Qaeda militants.

April- protests increase against the dismissal of Justice Chouhury.

-12 May- several killed in rival demonstrations in Karachi over the dismissal of Justice Choudhury.


The Red Mosque

-June- followers of Islamabad’s Red Mosque Islamist leader al-Ghazi attempt to impose Sharia law on the city.

-11 July- after a week-long stand off, security forces storm and seize the Red Mosque, killing over 80 militants.

-in the wake of the assault on the red Mosque, Waziristan and Pakistan erupt in revenge suicide and bomb attacks. In response to the violence and to US threats to pursue the Taliban inside Pakistan, Musharraf resume the military campaign inside Waziristan.

-20 July- the Supreme Court reinstates Justice Choudhury

-9 August- Musharraf decides against emergency rule.

The Return of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif.

-23 Aug. the Supreme Court decides exiled oppostion leader Nawaz Sharif can return to Pakistan.

Sept. 8- General Musharraf has Sharif arrested upon his return to Pakistan. Sharif is exiled again to Saudi Arabia- in defiance of the Supreme Court's August ruling.

-14 September- Bhutto says she will return from exile in London in mid-October.

-16 September- Pakistan's electoral commission amends a clause stating that a government servant cannot run for office without first being retired from their position for two years. A public servant can now run without leaving office. The amended clause would allow President Musharraf to run again for president. Musharraf's term as president expires November 15.

-18 September- presidential lawyers say that Musharraf will step down as army chief only if he is elected president.

-Oct. 5-in a deal with Musharraf opposition PPP leader Benazir Bhutto agrees to abstain rather than to boycott the Pakistan election if the charges against her are dropped before she returns from exile in London.

Musharrraf Elected President.

-Oct. 6- Musharraf sweeps the elections.

-almost 200 are killed in fighting in North Waziristan as government forces fight Taliban and Taliban and al-Qaeda-aligned Islamist groups.

Assassination Attempt on Bhutto Upon her Return.

-Oct. 12- 2 suicide bombs directed at Bhutto's convoy from airport, kill donzens, upon her return from British exile.

Musharraf Declares State of Emergency.

-November- Musharraf declares emergency rule claiming Islamist threats to the government. Opponents charge him with attempting to lengthen his dictatorship as he uses the emergency to sack the Supreme Court on the eve of its decision about the legitimacy of his election as president while still chief of the army.

-Bhutto placed under house arrest as she plans a march against emergency rule.

-Musharraff says he will work with Bhuttto.

-Musharraf brings in a caretaker government.

-the chief election commissioner determines that elections for Prime Minister will be held on January 8, 2008.

-the election commission ratifies Musharraf's second five-year term in office.

-Nawaz Sharif allowed to return from exile.

-Musharraf hands over command of the Armed Forces to General Ashfaq Kayani.

-Bhutto says she may boycott the January 8 election.

-December 15- Musharraf ends the state of emergency, restores constitution.


Assassination of Benazir Bhutto

-December 27- Bhutto is shot to death as suicide bombers hit her retinue after a rally in Rawalpindi.

2008- January -Musharraf postpones January 8 elections to February 18 due to instability.

-20 police killed at an anti-Musharraf rally outside the High Court in Lahore.

-the army kills 90 tribal militants in South Waziristan.

Victory of the PPP and the PML-N in Parliamentary Elections.

Opposition Parties Gain Seats.

-Feb 18- the PPP and the PML-N sweep parliamentary elections, reducing Musharraf's PML Q.
The PPP's Asif Zardari Bhutto and the PML-N's Nawaz Sharif consider a coalition to oust Musharraf.

March- Yusuf Raza Gilani of the PPP becomes Prime Minister.

August- The PPP and the PML-N agree to launch impeachment proceedings against General Musharraf.


Musharraf Resigns

Musharraf resigns. Senate speaker Muhammed Sumroo takes on the role of acting president.

Asif Ali Zardari, Bhutto's widower declares himself a candidate for presidental elections on September 6.

PML-N leader Nawaz Sharif withdraws his party from the governing coalition on grounds that the PPP has broken its promise to help reinstate the supreme coourt judges fired by Musharraf.


Zardari Elected President.

September, 2008- Asif Zardari is elected President.

-Islamabad's Mariott Hotel is bombed leaving 50 dead. An islamist group claims responsibility.

November- President Zardari protests US missile strikes inside Pakistan.

-Pakistan borrows billions from the IMF to deal with its debt crisis.

December, 2008- India traces the Mumbai teror attacks in which dozens were killed, to Pakistan. Pakistan denies inolvement but promises to cooperate in the investigation. The Pakistani terror group, Lashkar-e-Toiba is strongly suspected.

The Contest for the Swat Valley.

2009- February- Pakistan government agrees to allow Sharia Law in the Swat Valley in return for a ceasefire with Taliban.

March- in Lahore, a bus carrying the Sri Lanka cricket team is attacked by Islamist militants. 5 police are killed, 7 players injured.

-government agrees to reinstate Supreme Court Justice Choudhry and other judges dismissed by Musharraf in the faces of mass protests.

-40 are killed as gunman attack the Lahore police academy.

April- the Taliban breaks the Swat Vallley ceasefire agreement with Islamabad by taking more territory. The Government launches a massive operation to roust the Taliban from Swat and other North West territories.

July- primer ministers of India and Pakistan meet in Cairo, forging an agreement to fight terrorism without regard to other differences between the two countries.

-Nawaz Sharif acquitted by Supreme Court of hijacking charges, freeing him to run for office.

-Government troops clear the Swat Valley of the Taliban.

August- Islamabad alets international security bodies in an attempt to track down 13 suspects in the Mjumbai massacre.

-President Zardari orders the suspension of judges appointed under Musharraf's emergency rule to replace the Supreme Court judges Musharraff had previously fired.


New Leadership for the Pakistani Taliban.

-Baitullah Mahsud, head of the Pakistani Taliban is killed in a US drone missle attack.

October- the new Taliban leader, Hakimullah Mehsud, deeply connected to clans in his native Waziristan swears revenge for the death of Baitullah.

Pakistan invades South Waziristan.

-over 170 are killed in Islamist terror attacks across Pakistan.

-the US congress passes a law by which US aid is reidrected from the military to the civilian government, with finds earmarked for the army entirely dependent on the army severing all ties to the militants.

-in response to the wave of terror, the Pakistan army launches a 30,000 strong invasion of Hakimullah's stronghold, Southy Waziritstam.

Oct. 26- nearly 100 killed by car bomb in Peshawar market as US Secretary of State arrives in Pakistan.:

Monday, October 19, 2009

Karzai Rejects Calls for a New Election Commission

HISTORY IN THE NEWS:

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DEVOTED TO THE DEEP ORIGINS OF CONTEMPORARY EVENTS AROUND THE WORLD.


TAG: With President Karzai heading an ineffective and corrupt government and further weakened by a universal verdict of fraud in recent elections, Afghans no longer have a country to fight for. At least not like the country Afghans once had and could once fight for and believe in.

IN THE NEWS: AFTER THE UN VOIDS THE AUGUST ELECTIONS BECAUSE OF MASSIVE FRAUD, PRESIDENT KARZAI AGREES TO A RUN-OFF ELECTION IN NOVEMBER. HIS OPPONENT, ABDULLAH ABDULLAH, WILL RUN ONLY IF THE RULES ARE TIGHTENED. KARZAI HAS REJECTED ABDULLAH ABSULLAH'S CALL TO FIRE ELECTORAL OFFICIALS AND TO FORM A NEW ELECTION COMMISSION. IN VIEW OF THE WEAKNESS OF THE AFGHAN GOVERNMENT AND ITS POOR PROPECTS, U.S. PRESIDENT OBAMA REMAINS UNDECIDED WHETHER TO INCREASE US TROOP NUMBERS OR TO ADOPT A LESS DIRECT COUNTERINSURGENCY STRATEGY.

REARVIEW MIRROR: In 1964, Afghan king Zahir Shah instituted a constitutional monarchy. The following year he called Afghanistan's first elections. Afghan democracy lasted eight years after whuch King Zahir Sahah was overthrown by his Prime Minister, General Mohammed Daoud.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: Afghanistan never existed as a separate political entity until the 18th century. Until then, it was alternatety a part of Persian, Arab, Indian and Central Asian empires. Never tightly controlled, it was a regional backwater, a congeries of Pashtun, Persian and Central Asian tribal confederations whose Shahs and chieftains negotiated and paid tribute to successive empires. The first appearance of anything that might be called Afghan dominance was in 1020 when Mahmud of Ghazni, a Turkic warlord broke from the Abbasid empire and built his own short-lived Empire stretching between Central Asia, Kabul, Ghazni and Delhi in northern India. Still, there was no national consciousness until 1709 when Mirwais Khan Hotak rallied the Ghilzai Pashtuns around Kandahar against their Persian overlords. Thenceforward, there was some sort of Afghan separateness, a sense of being neither of India nor of Persia, but of Kandahar, the historic heart of what would one day become Afghanistan. Ahmed Shah Durrani became, effectively, Afghanistan's founding father, by carving out an empire from Central Asia into the heart of India. Durrani was succeeded by several weak rulers and the national concept became fragile, occasionally returning to tibalism as it was wont to do, until 1826 when Dost Mohammed founded something resembling a modern state with an administration. The wars against successive British occupations throughout the remainder of the 19th century only hardened Afghan national feeling. Above all, perhaps, it was Britain`s ultimate failure that told Afghans, once and for all, that they had a country, In the early 20th century, the struggles of Aghan kings, alternately liberal and conservative, reforming and theocratic, brought about painful but steady modernization. It was King Zahir Shah who brought Afghanistan into the 20th century in 1933. His long reign with its introduction of elections, represents for many the nation that might have moved forward in stgep with other modern, secular nations. But the arrival of Communism and the Soviet invasion brought about the fierce tribal backlash that returned the country to another age where tibalism was dominant and modernization associated with foreigners.

IN A NUTSHELL:
Afghans have had, from time time, a nation in which they could believe. At times when the national idea has weakened, disintegration, decentralism tribalism and war reutrn. In the wake of massive electoral fraud and a widespread insurgency, it is clear that the national idea is once again weakening.

THEN AND NOW: From 1880 until 1900, King Abdur Rhaman, ruled Afghanistan with fear, radical centralization, moderate reform, the centralization of relgious institutions, complex tribal deals and improvements in the road system. Now, Afghanistan is ruled through corruption and cronyism propped up by Western political ideals with increasing parts of the country under the effective rule of the Taliban.

CONTENTS: SCROLL DOWN FOR:
DISTANT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS
RELEVANT DATES
RECENT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS
.PREVIOUS ENTRIES
REMOTE BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS
LOCATION OF NOTE:
PROFILE:
CROSS-CENTURY SUMMARY
EYEWTNESS
PRESENT SITUATION
PLUS CA CHANGE
CURIOSITY
TIMELINE FOR THE HISTORY OF AFGHANISTAN.

DISTANT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS.


Mirwais Shah Hotak

Shah Mirwais Hotak, the first founder of Afghanistan doed in 1715. In 1720-22 his son Mahmud Hotak invaded Persia, overthrowing the Persian Safavids under Shah Hussein. Hotak made himself Shah at Isfahan before dying insane in 1724. By 1729, Nadir Shah of Persia had expelled all the Pashtun Hotaki Afghans. It was Nadir Shah who turned the table this time, invading Afghanistan and northern India in 1738, his empire lasting only unti lhis assassination in 1747. Afghan retribution against Persia was to arrive in the form of the Durrani, the great Pashtun clan that is still powerful in Afghanistan. In 1747 a Pashtun, Ahmad Shah (of the Saddozai family of the Abdali clan) happened to be commander of the Persian Shah, Nadir's body guard. He participated in the Shah's assassination, took the name "Durrani", meaning 'Pearl of the Age' , established the Pashtun Durrani dynasty of Afghanistan, took Kandahar and united the tribes of southern Afghanistan around their common link: the Pashtun language. He then invaded the Gangetic Plain of India, conquering and weakening the last Moghul emperor Aurangzeb. Under the Duranni, the modern Afghan nation began to take shape. Ahmad Shah's empire extended from near the Caspian Sea to India and entailed the final defeat of the Mahrattas of India at Panipat in 1761.

http://www.afghanland.com/history/leaders/leader1.jpg
Ahmad Shah Durrani

After Ahmad Shah's death in 1777, his son, Timur Shah, moved the Durrani capital from Kandahar to Kabul. But the Durrani empire weakened under Timur and disintegrated under the rule of his son, Zaman. It was a decaying Durrani dynasty that the British confronted in their attempts to control Afghanistan as a buffer state against Russia in the 19th century.

Under a Pashtun chieftain of the Barakzai clan , Dost Mohammed, (1826-63), the heart of the Afghan state was revived and something resembling a modern Afghanistan developed. In the mid century, Afghanistan was drawn into 'the Great Game' as Russia and Britain vied for control of the region, Britain determined to stem any Russian encroachment on her possessions in India and South Asia. Though the Pashtun Shahs were weak, the tribes were sufficiently organized to end British occupation twice in the nineteenth century. In the first Afghan war (1839-1842) the British took Kandahar on their northward march from India. In the second Afghan War (1879-1881) both Kandahar and Kabul had to be occupied if the country was to be controlled. The British never succeeded holding both cities for long enough to assert their authority and finally, in 1881, were finally forced into a disastrous retreat from Kabul back into India.

Between 1880 and 1901, Shah Abdur Rahman, with tacit British support, became the first ruler to bind the country in something resembling a modern, centralized state. His rule was stern but moderate and effective. The first Afghan sovereign to establish the the divine right of kings, he risked the wrath of the local Mullahs who normally held all religious authority. Rahman broke their power by taking over the Waqfs or religious trusts, effectively making the Mullahs into religious bureaucrats. He went on to centralize the administration of religion, fashion a state sharia law and make himself protector of Islam from foreigners .

Rahman's son, Habibullah and religious leaders, particularly in Eastern Afghanistan, were angry that he failed to declare complete independence from Britain.King Habibullah reigned from 1901 to 1919. His adviser, Mahmoud Beg Tarzi, was also tutor to his children, Inyatullah and Amanullah. An influential modernizer and nationalist, Tarzi was influenced by the secularizing example of the young Turks and of the Japanese talent for modernization while keeping traditional social and religious structures in place. Habibullah declared his neutrality in World War One but with Russian influence declining after the revolution of 1917, nationalism was resurgent. After Habibullah's assassination in 1919, he was succeeded by his son, Amanullah.

By World War I, Britain had little control in Afghanistan but it did have its garrisons along the Durand Line, protecting British India. The Afghans took advantage of Britain's distraction by the war in Europe to rally the Pashtun tribes which formed their own 'discrete' nation on both sides of the border. In response, in 1919, the British launched another invasion of Afghanistan. King Amanullah, as a Pashtun, used fellow tribesmen from both sides of the Afghan-Indian border (the Durand line which is the current Afghan-Pakistan border) to fight the British to a standstill in what became known as the Afghan War of Independence. In that same year, the British recognized an independent Afghanistan by the Treaty of Kabul.

Amanullah attempted to put the country on the road to modernization. He forged a constitution which attempted to define the relationship between religion and state, alienating secularists and religious conservatives alike. His educational and religious reforms, meanwhile, threatened to weaken the local Mullahs and he jailed the Hazrat Shabib of Shor Bazaar for organizing a petition opposing the reforms. When the Chief Qazi of Kabul protested Amanullah's reforms, he was charged with treason and executed. The reaction gathered momentum. In 1928 a Tajik bandit and religious conservative, the Bachi i Saqao organized an attack on Kabul. Cowed, Amanullah released the Harzat Shabib of Shor Bazaar and rescinded most of his secularizing reforms. He was soon deposed and for nine months the Bachi ruled Kabul in a religious tyranny. In 1929 Amanullah's cousin, Nadir Shah succeeded in ousting the Bachi and was made king.

Nadir Shah put down tribal rebellions against further modernizing reforms. At the same time, he attempted to appease religious traditionalists by rolling back some of Amanullah's reforms and giving the Bachi authority to enforce Sharia law through the courts. Altogether, Nadir Shah managed to hold Afghanistan's quarrelsome tribes in national unity- maintaining the state in its more or less historical condition: a loose tribal confederation dominated by Pashtuns. Tribal conflicts, however, resulted in Nadir Shah's assassination in 1933.

Nadir Shah's son, Zahir Shah, used his country’s geopolitical position to play off the United States and the Soviet Union against one another, extracting support from both and embarking on further, gradual modernization. He is responsible for bringing Afghanistan into the 20th century, the very process which divides Afghanistan today. He gave the country its first constitution in 1964 and its first elections in 1965. The move to modern, secular republicanism was accelerated with his overthrow in 1973 by one of his ministers, Mohammed Daoud who declared himself president. Daoud accelerated the march toward secularization, outraging the Mullahs by ordering the women of the royal family to appear unveiled at the yearly Jeshn, the ceremony marking Afhganistan's independence. He cracked down on Islamic groups, jailing Mohammed Niasi, the Ikwan i Musulamin of the Muslim Brotherhood and 200 of his followers. One of them, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar fled to Pakistan where he set up an opposition group. (He would later work in alliance with the Raliban)

It was a Marxist movement that overthrew and assassinated Daoud in 1978. The new Marxist government gave lip service to Islam. In 1978 the Marxist Kalq government replaced the Afghan flag, with its green stripe for Islam, with a red Communist fag and introduced Communist style mass demonstrations. The invocation of Allah was dropped from all official statements. Muslim clergy were imprisoned and religious leaders were persecuted in the countryside. The Soviet-backed leader, Babrak Karmal restored the old Afghan flag, claimed to guarantee freedom of religion and set up 'Islamic institutions' causing a backlash of Marxist protest from the Kalq.

RELEVANT DATES:

1709- Mirwais Kahn Hotak, Pashtun rallies the Afghan Ghilzais of Kandahar against the Persian Safavids and defeats them. He kills Gurgin, the Persian governor of Kandahar and becomes the city's mayor.

1747- Ahmad Shah (of the Saddozai family, Abdali clan) commander of Nadir's body guard, takes the name Durrani, meaning 'Pearl of the Age' and establishes the Durrani dynasty of Afghanistan, unites varied tribes in southern Afghanistan around their common link: the Pashtun language. He invades the Gangetic plain of India conquering and weakening the last Moghul emperor Aurangzeb. The modern Afghan nation begins to take shape. His empire extends from near the Caspian Sea to India.

-Ahmad rules Afghanistan through a federal assembly of tribal chiefs, a form of rule that last until the end of the monarchy in 1973.

1777-1799- Timur Shah, son of Ahmad, moves the Durrani capital from Kandahar to Kabul. The Durrani empire weakens under Timur and under Timur's son, Zaman.

1826-1863- Afhganistan revives under a Pashtun chieftain of the Barakzai clan , Dost Mohammed. The modern state of Afghanistan begins to take shape.

1845, 1880- First and Second Afghan wars against British rule.

1880-1901- Abdur Rahman, Emir of Afghanistan rules Afghanistan with British approval. A draconian, but effective ruler, he creates the country's first, highly centralized state.

1919- the Third Afghan War against the British.

1926. Amanullah is made king.

1929- King Amanullah, depending too much on tribes instead of an army, is forced to abdicate. He is succeeded briefly by Nadir Shah. Nadir Shah rolls back Amanullah's liberalizing reforms but succeeds in uniting Afghanistan despite tribal rebellions.

1933- Nadir Shah is succeeded by his son, Zahir Shah.

1964- King Zahir Shah institutes a constitutional monarchy.

1965- Afghanistan holds its first elections under King Zahir Shah.

1973- Zahir Shah is overthrown by his own Prime Minister, General Mohammed Daoud. Khan Declares himself president. He begins an unpopular policy of nationalization of industry.

1978- 28 April. The Kalq, (Armed Forces Revolutionary Council) a radical communist group overthrows Daoud and assassinates him.

1979-1989- The Soviet invasion and Afghan war against the Societ Occupation.

1996-2002- the Taliban rules Afghanistan under Mullah Omar until they are overthrown in an invasion backed by NATO and the Northern Alliance.

2002- a UN-approved interim government under President Hamid Karzai is approved by tribal leaders.

2003- Western countries, under the United Nations pursue a program of democratization and reconstruction. Hamid karzai becomes Afghanistan's first president.

2005- resurgent Taliban return to Afghanistan from refuges along the mountainous Pakistan border.

2005- September- Hamid Karzai is re-elected president of Afghanistan.

2008- April- NATO leaders meet at Bucharest and unanimously declare their long-term commitment to bringing stability and democracy to Afghanistan.

March- the electoral commission of Afghanistan moves the presidential election date from April to August, over President Karzai's objections. Karzai insists he will stay on until August.

April- President Karzai declares his intention to run for re-election in August.

August- the Taliban attempt to derail the Afghan presidential elections by threatening voters with death.

-Afghan elections are marred by low voter turn-out and widespread electoral fraud, most of it in districts claiming to re-elect president Karzai.

RECENT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS. In 1978, the Marxist president, Babrak Kemal found himself caught in a political feud with anti-Muslim Marxist radicals. He asked for Soviet intervention. The Soviet Union, fearing that Kemal's opponents could cause a severe Islamic reaction, invaded and occupied Afghanistan. In 1980, seven Afghan religious groups gathered in Peshawar, divided into two broad streams: the radical "Islamists" and the nationalist "Traditionalists". The traditionalists would be happy with the return of the monarchy while the Islamists who wanted a total Islamic state, regarding a monarchy as un-Islamic. Meanwhile in Afghanistan, Afghan Muslims formed the Mujehadeen nationalist, revolutionary movement to expel the Soviet Union, which they succeeded in doing in 1989. The Mujehadeen were a loose alliance mainly between ethnic Pashtun, Tajik and Uzbek warlords. With Pashtuns cleaving to a sense of their historic right to rule Afghanistgan, and all the warlords vying anyway for personal power, a bloody civil war among he Mujehadeen factions ended with Pakistan’s decision to impose stability by helping to create the Taliban. Throughout the 1980s, the Sunni Deobandi movement (which had arisen in India at the turn of the century to define a pure Islam against Shiism and British colonialism) entered southern Afghanistan. After taking Kandahar in 1994, The Taliban , educated in the Deobandi tradition, emerged victorious in the civil war, ruled Afghanistan and hosted the Islamist terrorist group, Al Qaeda. Sharia law was ruthlessly enforced throughout the country. In March of 2001, the Taliban destroyed the great Buddah sculptures of Bamian for being non-Islamic. Subsequently, Taliban ministers systematically destroyed 3,000 non-Muslim artifacts in the Kabul Museum.

After 9/11, the US and its western alllies invaded Afghanistan with the help of Afghan Uzbek and Tajik tribesmen. The first elected government was headed by Hamid Karzai, a Pashtun, but the important posts were handed out to Uzbek and Tajik warlords as rewards, leaving the Pashtuns, the largest ethnic group as well as Afghanistan historic rulers, with only a small share of the power. The Taliban began a gradual come-back in 2005, expanding its numbers through recruitment in the Pashtun region which straddles the border between Pakistan and southern Afghanistan. The Taliban appealed heavily to Pashtun nationalism Afghan rural traditionalism, to the local power of the Mullahs and the perceived threat of westernization. Allied troops returned at the request of the United Nations and the Afghan government, US, British and Canadian troops engaging the returning Taliban in the south, as pecially in Panjwaii, outside Kandahar, where the Taliban have been attempting to establish a base from which to take Kandahar itself. President Karzai has begun, tentatively, to negotiate with the Taliban, offering them government positions. Repeated Canadain victories over the Taliban in the Panjwai region have not stopped the Taliban from reoccupying Panjwaii. Meanwhile, Karzai has tried to steer Afghan policy on a narrow road between democracy and human rights on the one hand, and respect of Afghan cultural and religious traditions on the other. But the overwhelming corruption in his government and his tendency to rule through cronies as serious impeded prospects for reform and self government throughout the country. Throughout 2007, American and NATO troops found themselves in a stalement as Taliban attacks increased. In 2008, troop increases, especially around Kandahar, with the arrival of US and French units to support the Canadians and a change to new types of counterinsurgency strategy promises gradual but very limited progress. In the east, US troops remain frustrated by Pakistan's repeated truces with Taliban in the tribal areas, allowing the insurgents constantly to re-arm and launch attacks in Afghanistan. Most recently the Taliban assault on the prison in Kandahar, releasing captured fellow insurgents may signal a new type of strategy in their attempt to capture what they claim as their ancestral holy city, the capital of the south and the gateway to Kabul.

In June, a Taliban attack against India's ambassy in Kabul raised the spectre of a twin Islamist offensive against India and Afghanistan, since both are allied with the west and India is pressing its influence in Kabul. The suspicion that it was the work of Pakistani intelligence pointed once again to Pakistan as the axis of the Islamists' double offensive. It also drew attention to the Taliban's growing ability move inward from outlying areas of Afghanistan and threaten Kabul. It was only kilometers east of Kabul that ten French soldiers were killed in combat with Taliban fighters in August. The ham-handedness and rigidity of the US-NATO strategy was felt oonce again awhen 89 villgers died in a US air strike in western Afghanistans, the kind of error that only pushes more Afghans into the ranks of the Taliban.

It appeared that President Bush's 45,000 troop surge in September would do little without a change in approach. In October, Germany raised its troop levels by 1,000 to 4,500 in the northen province of Kunduz: with increasing Taliban attacks, Germany has been forced into the combat role it had avoided because of its militaristic past.

November saw Karzai's panacea of negotiation with the Taliban reduced to be a chimera as Taliban leaders responded to the president's overtures by announcing there would be no talks until every last foreign soldier was out of the country. Karzai's and Pakistan president Zardari's agreement to drive the Taliban from their joint border felt like one more statement of good intentions. The new year, 2009 couldn't have been a worse time for Kyrgyzstan to close the US airbase essential to supplying the allied war effort from the north. The commitment of 14,000 more US troops in February promised numbers but again no change in direction. It was a sign of how bad things were that Afghanistan's electoral commission moved the presidential elections from April to August, over president Karzai's objections.

Finally, but perhaps too late, President Obama announed a new plan in March: discredited tactics of search and destory would give way to "clear and hold" by which newly taken territory would be used to establish a permanent military presence with improved relations with the local population. In addition, 4,000 US troops were committed to train Afghan police. In May, Defence Secretary Robert Gates replaced US commander David McKiernan with General Stanley McChrystal to apply the new strategy. In the summer the new direction began to pay off with record drug seizures in Hemland and a joint Afghan-British offensive with 4,000 US Marines in the southern Helmand River valley, the Taliban's main conduit into southern Afghanistan from Pakistan. The results, were mixed with the allies able to take and occupy territory but without the numbers to proceed further and all the while taking record casualties.

The August presidential elections were a fiasco. The Taliban, threatening death to voters, insured a low turnout while massive electoral fraud, partcularly by supporters of President Karzai, eliminated his expected majority, leaving him somewhere below fifty per cent, with the country facing a late fall run-off vote between Karzai and runner-up Amanullah. In October, meanwhile, at least eight US soldiers were killed in a firefight with the Taliban in Nimroz, in the remote southwest of the country, near the Pakistan border. The Taliban`s penetration of the formerly peaceful region suggest`s that its occupation of the country`s periphery is complete.


REMOTE BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS
. One of the earliest records of a ‘national movement’ is Pashtun resistance to Alexander the Great, whose armies occupied the area in 330 BC. His Seleucid successors barely held onto the region. By the 3rd century BC, the Greek colony of Bactria, in the Oxus region had seceded to form a kingdom which included northern Afghanistan. The Bactrians were succeeded, again from the north, by the Central Asian Kushans who, responding to pressures from China, pushed downward into the Afghan region and formed an empire extending southward into northern India. This southeastern movement from Central Asia, down through Afghanistan to India would be a two-way route of invasions, including Pashtun national invasions, for centuries to come. Afghanistan's place as a link between India and Central Asia would result in its gradual empowerment. As the Kushans declined in the fifth century AD, the Sassinid Persians managed to rule Afghanistan.

With the weakening of the Sassinids by internal dissension, the occupation of the area by Islam in the late 7th century was, perhaps, the most successful of all attempts to control the region. Despite occupation by Mongols in the middle ages, the area remained Muslim. Around 1020, Mahmoud of Ghazni, a Turkic Afghan warlord working for the Abassids of Baghdad, formed his own South-Asian empire whose influence stretched from the Tigirs to the Indus. He brought about forced, mass conversions to Islam in Afghanistan and in northern India. The Samarkand warlord Tamerlane conquered much of Afghanistan around 1400 . Though his empire fell apart quickly after his death, his son Shah Rukh brought about the 'Timurid' Islamic cultural renaissance in Herat. In the 16th century, Babur, again from Samarkand, set up his own empire in Afghanistan. This became the great Moghul Empire which included northern India.

With the gradual disintegration if the Moghul empire, the first thing resembling an Afghan ‘nation’ rose in the 18th century with the growth of a Pashtun nationalist sensibility around Kandahar and directed against Persian rule. The result was the Afghan, Pashtun Durrani empire which extended, like that of the Moghuls, into India.

LOCATION OF NOTE: KABUL: For centuries, Kabul has been the northern gateway to India, controlling the appproaches to the Khyber pass, the pathway of countless invasions over two millennia. It was once walled and all but landlocked by mountains. In the 6th century BC, Kabul was ruled by Achaeminid Persia, and then by its successor, the Seleucid Greeks of the late 4th century, BC.. Around 300 BC, the last Seleucid ruler of the region ceded Kabul and eastern Afghanistan to the Mauryan Empire of India. In the second century AD, the Central Asian Kushan empire held Kabul and Eastern Afghanistan while Parthia held Herat and the west. In the 6th century, Kabul was ruled once again by Perisa, under the Sassanids. It was taken by the Arabs in the 7th century. By the 8th century the Abbasid Caliphate stopped just short of Kabul and Kandahar which were now in the cultural and political orbit of India. A Turkic mercenary for the Abassids, Mahmoud of Ghazni, united Herat and Kabul in a 11th century empire reaching westward into Perisia and eastward across northern India. Under Ghaznavid rule, Herat lost prestige to the dynastic capital, Ghazni, near Kabul. In 1149- the Ghaznavids were overthrown by the Ghurids who ruled Kabul as aprt of a new empire. In the following two centuries, the Mongols and the Turkic conqueror Tamerlane, rspectively, ruled the city. With Babur, after 1483, it became part of the Moghul Empire becoming a formal administrative district as wel as his capital in 1504 and a Moghul military and economic base in 1545. Old kabul was distnguished by the palace of the Emir, a great roofed bazaar and the monumental works of the 17th century noble, Ali Mardan Khan. With the rise of Mahmud Hotak the regions of Kandahar and Kabul in the east and Herat in the west were united in an Afhgan state in 1722 and taken permanently from the Moghuls by Nadir Shah in 1738, In 1773, the capital of the Afhgan empire was moved from Kandahar to Kabul and Kabul became the prize in three unsuccessful colonial wars waged by Britain to control Afhganistan. During the reign of Abdur Rahman (1880-1900), according to the Encylopedia Britannica (11th ed.) "the streets were just as evil-smelling the surrounding gardens as ppicturesque and attractive and the wealth of fruit was as fgreat as it had been fifty years previously." But Rahman modernized the roads and erected public buildings. It was the Soviet military headquarters after the invasion of 1979, falling to the mujehadeen in 1992 but suffered badly during the Afghan civil war of the 1990s.

http://photos.igougo.com/images/p56996-Afghanistan-kabul.jpg
Kabul.

PROFILE:
Abdur Rahman (1844-1901) King of Afghanistan (1880-1901). The grand nephew of King Dost Mohammed, he turned against the reign of his uncle, Shere Ali and in 1869 was sent into exile. The British, faced with Shere Ali's alliance with Russia, occupied Afghanistan and defeated Shere Ali's army. Later, in 1880, the British placed Rahman on the throne. As Emir of Afghanistan, Abdur Rahamn supported Britain in the Great Game against Russia. Rahman successfully defended Kandahar and seized Herat from his cousin, Ayub Khan. Rahman was perhaps the first Afghan ruler to create a centralized administration and to turn the ring of trade routes into a road system. If he kept the country united and outwardly in a state of peace it was at the cost of the brutality, cruelty and occasional murder he used to silence opposition. The country suffered economically due to the isolationism Rahman saw as necessary to avoid domination by outside powers. Under him, Afghanitsan's borders were finallydetermined while he kept both Britain and Russia at arm' s length. But Afghans and Pashtuns in particular were embittered after Rahman allowed the British to draw the Durand line through Pashtun lands as the border with India. On the religious front, he broke the power of the local Mullahs throughout the country, took over their religious endowments, administered religious affairs though the state and entrusted the state with the enforcement of Sharia or religious law. His reign saw great stability and great backwardness.


Abdur Rahman

CROSS-CENTURY SUMMARY:
The arrival of Islam in the 7th century provided the only unity in what was essentially a rough barren Asian hinterland made up of isolated tribes. Dire enmity and fast friendship developed as the means of survival which later became 'Pashutnwali', the code of the Pashtun people. Due to the difficulty of the terrain and lack of education, local power would be dominant and any centralized power would be almost impossible to maintain without extreme brutality. Until the eighteenth century, the region was only loosely ruled and from afar: by the Greeks, Persia, they Umayyads and the Abbasids. Islam would be the only cultural force defining the Afghan region. It was a strict and conservative brand, receptive to all new puritan movements entering the country even to the resent day- like the Deobandi movement if the 1980s. Afghanistan's first native rulers were the Turkic Ghaznavids of Ghazni but they were followed once more by foreigners: the Mongols, Tamerlane, the Moghuls of India. and the British. The first modern native rulers were the Durrani kings of Kandahar after whom there was a traceable descent of Afghan kings. Even then, anything resembling a nation was held together through violence.

TIMELINE FOR THE HISTORY OF AFGHANISTAN:

The Iranians

2200 BC: the original or Indoeuropean migrants move from Bactria (present day Uzbekistan), down through Afghanistan into the Middle East.

1500 BC: Iranians of the Bactrian and 'Afghan' regions are at the source of a second great Indoeuropean migration.

670 BC: the Sakas, an Iranian sub-group form in Bactria and to the south in the Afghan region.

The Persians

560 BC- the Medes from an Empire in northern Persia, north of the Babylonian empire. The Median Empire includes the Afghan region.

400-300- conquests of the Median, Achaeminid Kings, Cyrus the Great and Darius I create the Persian empire. Darius II conquers the eastern and northeastern Afghan and Bactrian region. In Persia, the Afghan region is known as Drangiana, Satrapy XIV.

The Greek Seleucids

330 BC: Alexander the Great of Macedon, having defeated Darius II, enters Herat in western Afghanistan and in southern Afghanistan, founds a city in his own name, Kandahar. He has to contend with determined resistance by the Pashtuns.

330 BC- 200 AD- after his death, the Seleucid Greek successors to Alexander break away from the Antigonids and the Ptolemys and rule the Middle Eastern region. They barely manage to hang on to the extreme northeastern, Afghan region, known as Drangiana in the south and Bactria in the north.

-the break-up of the Seleucid Empire.

300 BC- Changragupta Maurya extends an empire of the central Ganges up to Kabul.

321-185 BC- the Mauryan empire- the subcontinent’s first state system which stretches from Afghanistan to southern India

220 BC- Greek colonists in Bactria begin to secede, forming the kingdom of Bactria which includes northern Afghanistan.

260 BC- (circa) under the influence of the great Indian emperor, Ashoka, Buddhism becomes the religion of the Afghan-Bactrian region.

The Yue Che/Kushan People

176 BC- the Chinese Yue-Chi are forced westward by the Xiongnu of western China and press on Bactria from the north, as the Sakas press from the northwest.

74 BC- the eastern Seleucid empire breaks up into the Parthian Empire in eastern Persia. Afghanistan is divided between Parthia in the south and the Yue Chi in the North.

67 AD- the Kushan people, having emerged from the Yue Chi, form in force on the northern edges of Afghanistan.

-the Kushans, caught between pressure from the Hsiang-Nu Chinese in the east and Persia in the west, invade Afghanistan and Sind before conquering part of northern India. The route southeast from central Asia to the Gangetic plain of northern India will be used for repeated invasions, the invaders always coming from the Afghan region and the north.

140 AD- the Kushan Empire extends into northern India. Afghanistan is divided between the Kushan Empire on the North and the Parthian empire to the south.

200-400 AD- the Kushan Empire breaks up into principalities.

Sassinid Persia.

484- the White Huns or Hephthalites from Central Asia invade Afghanistan and Persia.

500-630- the Sassinids rule Persia. Afghanistan is part of the Eastern Military Region, known as Kwarazm.

561- the Hephthalites are driven out of Afghanistan by the Sassinids and the Central Asian Turks.

-the Turks are the new opponents on the northeast of the Sassinid empire.

Islam

684- the Muslim conquest of Kandahar. The Umayyads attempt to extend religious, political and economic control into Central Asia.

751- with the defeat of the Chinese by the Umayyads at the battle of Talas in Turkestan, Central Asia comes within the sphere of Islam.

800- Western Afghanistan is the Khorasan region of the Abbasid Empire. Eastern Afghanistan, including Kabul and Kandahar is in the non-Islamic tribal region of the Indus. There is already a circular trade route anticipating the modern ring road from Kandahar to Kabul in the east to Balkh in the north and to Herat in the west.

1020- Mahmud of Ghazni (971-1030), an East Afghanistan Turkic warlord and mercenary for the Abbasid Muslims, was granted autonomy, as 'Sultan' to form his own dynasty. He conquers an empire stretching from Kurdistan to the Indus.

-Mahmoud's capaigns were against the Shia Fatimids and non-Mislims like Buddhists and Hindu India. Had a reputation as a bloodthirsty tyrant.

1030- Mahmoud of Ghazni does of malaria.

The Mongols

1221- the Mongols of Gengis Khan conquer Muslim Kandahar and take Afghanistan before moving south and west.

1350- collapse of the Mongol Empire.

Tamerlane

1399-1425- Tamerlane ('Timur the Lame'), an Uzbek descendant of Babur, invades from Samarkand and takes Afghanistan, going on to conquer and briefly to hold, much of the Middle East.

1425-1506- Descendants of Tamerlane rule an empire in Turkestan and Iran.

Babur and the Moghuls

1483- the Muslim conqueror Babur fails to establish a kingdom in his native Uzbekistan and instead takes Herat and Kandahar, making them the centre of his future empire.

1526- Babur, the first Moghul, invades India, takes the Gangetic plain and founds the Moghul Empire in India.

1526-1761- the Moghuls rule India.

1502-1720- the Safavid kings rule Persia.

1504- Kabul is annexed as a Moghul military and administrative area.

1545- Kandahar becomes a Moghul military and economic base.

1540-1545- Babur’s son Humayun loses control to the Afghan chieftan Sher Shah.

1546- battle of Panipat: Humayun’s son Akbar the Great recovers the area from the Afghans, extending it to Deccan.

1700-1800- the British consolidate their trading power in India through the East India company, taking advantage of the weakened Aurangzeb and make India a British colony.

1704- the Persians, in an attempt to settle a tribal war between the Abdali (Durrani) and the Ghilzai Pashtuns sent a Georgian, Gurgin, to govern Kandahar.

1709- Mirwais Kahn Hotak, Pashtun rallies the Afghan Ghilzais of Kandahar against the Persian Safavids and defeats them. He kills Gurgin, the Persian governor of Kandahar and becomes the city's mayor.

1715- Death of Mirwais.

1720-22- Pashtun Afghans of the Kandahar region under Mahmud Hotak, son of Mirwais, invade and overthrow the Persian Safavids under Shah Hussein. Mir Mahmud Hotak declares himself Shah in Isfahan.

1724- Mahmud Hotak dies insane.

1729- Nadir Shah of Persia expels the Hotaki Afghans.

1738- Nadir Shah invades Afghanistan and northern India, his empire lasting only until his assassination in 1747.

The Durrani Empire

1747- Ahmad Shah (of the Saddozai family, Abdali clan) commander of Nadir's body guard, takes the name Durrani, meaning 'Pearl of the Age' and establishes the Durrani dynasty of Afghanistan, unites varied tribes in southern Afghanistan around their common link: the Pashtun language. He invades the Gangetic plain of India conquering and weakening the last Moghul emperor Aurangzeb. The modern Afghan nation begins to take shape. His empire extends from near the Caspian Sea to India.

1761- Ahmad Shah defeats the Marathas of India at Panipat.

-Ahmad rules Afghanistan through a federal assembly of tribal chiefs, a form of rule that last until the end of the monarchy in 1973.

1777- death of Ahmad Shah Durrani.

1777-1799- Timur Shah, son of Ahmad, moves the Durrani capital from Kandahar to Kabul. The Durrani empire weakens under Timur and under Timur's son, Zaman.

1826-1863- Afhganistan revives under a Pashtun chieftain of the Barakzai clan , Dost Mohammed. The modern state of Afghanistan begins to take shape.

The British.

1830s- to protect her interests in India from the new Russian empire to the north, Britain uses diplomacy and espionage to keep Afghanistan as a friendly buffer state between India and Russia.

1838- After Shah Mahmud of Kabul favours his Russian ambassador while imprisoning the British ambassador, Britain sends a force from India and invades Kabul.

1847- After finding it too difficult to hold Afghanistan in the face of the Pashtuns, British forces retreat with heavy losses to Jalalabad, before retreating back to India.

1876- Baluchistan becomes a British protectorate.

1878-1880- Second Afghan War- after the struggle, Britain fails to control the country and withdraws its forces.

1879- despite the withdrawal of British forces, Afghanistan forced to concede theoretical sovereignty to the British.

Abdur Rahman

1880-1901- Abdur Rahman, Emir of Afghanistan rules Afghanistan with British approval. A draconian, but effective ruler, he creates the country's first, highly centralized state.

1893- the Durand line forms the limit of British territorial expansion into the Pashtun territories of Afghanistan. The Pashtun region, which had once defined Afghanistan, is split by the new boundary with Afghanistan. Western Pakistan is ceded to British India.

1901-1919- King Habibullah

1907- Britain and Russia work out a treaty defining separate spheres in influence in Persia with a British sphere of influence in Afghanistan.

1919- King Habibullah is assassinated. He is succeeded by his son, Amanullah.


King Amanullah

1919- the Third Afghan War. Pashtun tribes under Ananullah, on both sides of the Durand line, defeat the British. The British concede nationhood to Afghanistan by the Treaty of Kapubl. Amanullah attempts westernizing reforms.

1926. Amanullah is made king.

1929- King Amanullah, depending too much on tribes instead of an army, is forced to abdicate. He is succeeded briefly by Nadir Shah. Nadir Shah rolls back Amanullah's liberalizing reforms but succeeds in uniting Afghanistan despite tribal rebellions.

1933- Nadir Shah is assassinated as a result of a tribal dispute.

King Zahir Shah

1933- Nadir Shah is succeeded by his son, Zahir Shah.

1947- Britain agrees to the formation of an independent Pakistan, separate from India, with the Durand line remaining as the border between the two nations. The border still cuts through the region of the Pashtun people- despite Afghan claims on the entire Pashtun region, which includes much of the Baluchistan region of western Pakistan.

-Zahir Shah claims the Pathan (east Pashtun) state from Pakistan. Meanwhile, he extracts support from both the US and the Soviet Union.

1964- King Zahir Shah institutes a constitutional monarchy.

1965- Afghanistan holds its first elections.

The Afghan Republic.

1973- Zahir Shah is overthrown by his own Prime Minister, General Mohammed Daoud. Khan Declares himself president. He begins an unpopular policy of nationalization of industry.

1978- 28 April. The Kalq, (Armed Forces Revolutionary Council) a radical communist group overthrows Daoud and assassinates him.

The Soviet Invasion

1979- President Babrak Kemal emerges from in-fighting. Radical anti-Muslim Marixsts threaten to overthrow Kemal. At Kemal's request, the Soviet Union Invades Afghanistan.

1979-1989- the Afghan Mujehadeen mount powerful resistance against Soviet occupying forces.

1987- the Soviets install Afghan Communist president, Najibullah.

1989- the Soviet Occupation ends in defeat. Civil war begin among Afghan mujehadeen factions.

1992- President Najibullah resigns.

The Taliban.

1993- the Taliban, an ultra-Islamist religious student organization, intended to bring order to the anarchy in Afghanistan, is formed by Pakistani intelligence.

1994 -the Taliban cross into Afghanistan and take Kandahar

1996- the Taliban are victorious in the civil war and begin strict rule according to Shariah law. They are fully supported by Pakistan.

-Najibullah is murdered by the Taliban.

1997- former Saudi Mujehadeen leader Osama Bin Laden founds al Qaeda. Bin Laden and Al Qaeda become guests of the Taliban.

1999- the Taliban control most of the country.

9/11 and the US Invasion.

2001- Al Qaeda terrorists fly passenger jets into the twin towers in New York, killing 2,900 Americans.

2001-2002- US forces invade Afghanistan to rid the country of Al Qaeda and its Taliban protectors. The Americans link up with the 'Northern Alliance', former Mujehadeen of northern Afghanistan and kill or expel Afghan Taliban and Al Qaeda forces.

2002- a UN-approved interim government under President Hamid Karzai is approved by tribal leaders.

2003- Western countries, under the United Nations pursue a program of democratization and reconstruction. Hamid karzai becomes Afghanistan's first president.

The Resurgence of the Taliban.

2005- resurgent Taliban return to Afghanistan from refuges along the mountainous Pakistan border.

2005- NATO forces begin to engage the Taliban in the west and US forces fight the re-emergent Taliban and Al Qaeda in the eastern Afghanistan. Both engage in programs to reconstruct the Afghan economy.

2005- September- Hamid Karzai is re-elected president of Afghanistan.

2006- July- NATO combat forces, mostly British and Canadian, take over from US command and with US support launch Operation Mountain Thrust to the clear the Taliban from southern Afghanistan.

2006- August-September- Canadian forces lead Operation Medusa, clearing the Taliban from the Panjwai district only 30 km from Kandahar, where the Canadians are based.

2006 December- January 2007- Canadians launch operation Falcon's Summit, clearing the Taliban, once again, from Kandahar.

2007- August- joint Loya Jirga held by Pakistan and Afghanistan in Kabul. The two nations agree to increased and coordinated efforts against the Taliban in the border regions.

-the production of opium poppies, whose traffic funds the Taliban, reaches an all-time record.

November- in the north at Baghlan, a suicide attack on a parliamentary convoy kills 41.

-two senior UN and EU envoys are expelled from Afghanistan allegedly for making contact with Taliban.

2008- April- NATO leaders meet at Bucharest and unanimously declare their long-term commitment to bringing stability and democracy to Afghanistan.


Taliban Increase control of terriotry and latitude of attacks.

-the Taliban launch an assault on an open air state function in Kabul, directly threatening the life of President Karzai.

-June 13- Taliban truck and suicide bombers blast open the the prison in Kandahar, freeing 400 captured insurgents.

July- suicide bombing of Indian Embassy kills dozens. Kabul lays the blame on Pakistan intelligence.

August- Taliban fighters kill ten French combat troops only a few miles east from Kabul.

-89 villagers killed in an air strike by NATO-Afghan forces.


US Troop Surges by Bush and Obama.

September- US President Bush sends a troop surge of 45,000 aditional US soldiers to Afghanistan.

October- Germany lengthens its mission in Afghanistan to 2009 and adds 1,000 troops bringing levels to 4,500.

November- Karzai's attempt to negotiate with the Taliban fail as Taliban commders insist there will be no negotiation until foreign troops leave Afghanistan.

December- Karzai and Palkistani president-elect Zardari agree to joint efforts to root out the Taliban from the border region.

2009- January Kygyzstan closes US air bases needed for transporting NATO and US troops and equipment into Afghanistan.

US Change in Strategy Under Obama.

February- US sends an additional 14,000 troops to Afghanistan and in response 20 NATO countries pledge to icnrease their own commitment.

March- the electoral commission of Afghanistan moves the presidential election date from April to August, over President Karzai's objections. Karzai insists he will stay on until August.

President Obama anounces a new military strategy for Afghanistan, concentrating on a strong relationship with the civilian population, and clearing and holding liberated areas. 4000 US troops are sent in to train Afghan police.

April- President Karzai declares his intention to run for re-election in August.

The NATO Offensive in Helmand.

May- US Defence Secretary Robert Gates replaces General David McKiernan with General Stanley McChrystal, saying that the Afghan situation needs new thinking.

US-Afghan forces capture 1000 tronnes of drugs, in Helmand, the largest seizure of drugs since 2001.

July- joint British-Afghan offensive in Helmand with about 4,000 US Marines. Their intention is to pursue a new policy of holding territory and forming a permanent presence among the local population. The offensive marks limited success with high allied casualties and insuffient numbers to advance further.


The Failure of the Afghan Presidential Election

August- the Taliban attempt to derail the Afghan presidential elections by threatening voters with death.

-Afghan elections are marred by low voter turn-out and widespread electoral fraud, most of it in districts claiming to re-elect president Karzai.

-October- at least 8 US soldiers are killed during a Taliban assault in an American base in Nimroz Province in th3e southwest, near the Pakistan border.

-Oct. 27- in Kabul, six UN workers as well as Afghan civilians killed as two Taliban suicide car bombs blast UN headquarters.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

RIVAL PRESIDENTS OF HONDURAS FAIL TO REACH AGREEMENT

HISTORY IN THE NEWS:

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History never dies. It is reborn every minute of every day.



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DEVOTED TO THE DEEP ORIGINS OF CONTEMPORARY EVENTS AROUND THE WORLD.

TAG:
The old ghosts of Central America- extended presidential term limits and coups d'etat- have returned to haunt Honduras. Now, dissenting factions are being pressed by the international community to make up and inter the problem for good- in a region that has only recently experienced a dawn of democracy.

IN THE NEWS: HAVING AGREED WEDNESDAY ON A PROPOSAL WHICH WOULD ALLOW OUSTED HONDURAN PRESIDENT, MANUEL ZELAYA TO FINISH HIS TERM AS PRESIDENT, INTERIM PRESIDENT ROBERTO MICHELETTI ANNOUNCES THERE IS NO CONSENSUS ON THE DETAILS. ZELAYA, ISOLATED IN THE BRAZILIAN EMBASSY WHERE HE HAS TAKEN REFUGE SINCE RETURNING FROM EXILE, WOULD HAVE TO AGREE TO END HIS EARLIER ATTEMPT TO EXTEND HIS TERM LIMIT BY CHANGING THE CONSTITUTION. AND MICHELETTI WOULD HAVE TO CONSENT TO AN INVESTIGATION OF THE THE MILITARY COUP IN WHICH HE DISPLACED ZELAYA. THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY WILL REFUSE TO RECOGNIZE ELECTIONS SLATED FOR NOVEMEBER 29 UNLESS THE STANDOFF IS RECOLVED THROUGH PEACEFUL NEGOTIATION- PUTTING THE BOTH SIDES UNDER PRESSURE.

REARVIEW MIRROR:
Coup d'etats are not the only shadow associated with Latin America's past. The use of congress to change the constitution in order to extend presidential term limits was used long ago by presidents like Venzuela's Guzman Blanco and Honduras's Carias Andino. They were right wing presidents; today, governments on the left, like Venezuela's Hugo Chavez and Honduras's Manuel Zelaya have turned to the extension of term lmits and Zelaya, as a consequence was removed in a right wing military coup d'etat.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: From Spanish colonial times, Honduras's difficult terrain slowed its development. The country's poverty, its need for a railway and a means to develop and exploit its banana crop left the it dependent on foreign investors, first Britain and then the United States. Violent political intervention by its neighbours combined with political parties (Liberals and Conservatives) which behaved more like armed camps with vested interests, led to a tradition of political violence, rigged elections and dictatorships, the most notorious among them the Carias dictatorship of 1932-1948. Post-war attempts to return to democratic and civilian rule were hindered by the United States which intervened on behalf of its own economic interests and propped up military dictators in order to oppose the spread of Communist infiltration from insurgencies in Guatemala and El Salvador and from the Sandinista government in Nicaragua. As such, Honduras became Washington's conservative strong-hold in Central America. The fall of the Soviet Union and the democratization of Latin America, brought in a new breed of Left-wing charismatic leader. Chavez of Venezuela, Morales of Bolivia and now, Zelaya of Honduras, have attempted what had in the past been a provocative strategy of right-wing demagogues- the extention of term limits by changing the constitution. The bid by Zelaya to extend his term limit was the reason used by Conservative forces to remove him in a military coup.

IN A NUTSHELL: Honduras's gradual and desultory return to civilian govenment after World Two was hindered by US president Reagan's support for Honduras' military in order to host Nicaragua's Contras in their attempt to unseat the left-wing Nicaraguan Sandinista government and to provide a bulwark against insurgemncies in El Salvador and Guatemala. The late 1990s saw a return to civilian government. But the stability of post Cold War Latin America was threatened once again by the perennial problem of extreme poverty. In the late 1990s, maverick leftist Hugo Chaves's Venezuela had replaced Cuba and the Soviet Union as the focus for reform froom the left. Zelaya, as president of one of the hemisphere's poorest countries, followed Chavez's example in attempting to govern from the left. The region's cold war rivalries may have been succeeded by a new polarization around wealth and poverty.

THEN AND NOW: 1981 saw the election of Roberto Suazo Cordova, the first civilian president
in decades. The Contra war in Nicaragua inceased the power of General Gustavo Alvarez who soon overshadowed the president. In 1986 Jose Azcona Del Hoya was elected president; at the same time a law was passed limiting presidents to a single term. In 2009, both trends were disappointed; President Zelaya tried to extend his term limit and the army quickly deposed him and took power.

CONTENTS: SCROLL DOWN FOR:
DISTANT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS:

RELEVANT DATES
RECENT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS
.
PREVIOUS ENTRIES

REMOTE BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS:

EYEWTNESS
PLUS CA CHANGE
TIMELINE FOR THE HISTORY OF

LOCATION OF NOTE: TEGUCIGALPA: Founded by the Spanish in the late 16th century, the city was a center of gold and silver mining. It became the headquarters of the Liberals under Francisco Morazan. Its university was foounded in 1847. The city of Comayagua was its rival for the seat of government though Tegucigalpa won the right permanently in 1880. To this day, it is still not served by a railroad.

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Tegucigalpa.

DISTANT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS:

A Country without Communications
In 1840, Honduras declared independence, but ceased to develope its mineral wealth. Poor communications through the rugged interior, where main roads still consisted of mule tracks, where mangrove swamps encumbered the shorelines, made the country all but impossible to govern. Despite a new constitution in in 1851, local fiefdoms or centres of power in valleys remote from the capital limited centalized administration. Nevertheless it was Honduras that managed the capture and execution in 1860 of the American Adventurer William Walker in his attempts to achieve, through military force, the economic exploitation of much of Central America.

The Search for a Railway.
There is some irony in the fact that the sole solution to the country's practical unification and administration remained the building of a railway, a project which lent itself handily to foreign exploitation and local corruption. British investment between 1863 and 1867 was mostly swallowed up in profiteerring. However, the late 19th century saw rare stibility under the regimes of Aurelio De Soto and Luis Borgan.

Interference from Nicaragua
But at the end of the century, the regional political instability that had threatened Honduras at its birth, returned. In 1894, Nicaragua imposed a Liberal president, Polycarpo Bonilla, who remained in power until 1903 when the was over thrown by the Conservatives. In 1906, Honduras and El Salvador joined forces to fight Guatemala`s President Cabrera. The United States convened a peace conference in Costa Rica but Nicraragua, in the belief that it alone should broker the peace, refused to participate. In February, 1907, Honduran President Bonilla sent the army to counterattack invading forces from Nicaragua under president Zelaya and Nicaragua and was defeated.

The First Major US Interventions
The twentieth century opened with the first American intervetions: US marines landed in1907 in response to civil unrest. President Miguel Davila's acceptance, three years later, of a State Department loan to pay off the Biritsh railway debt marked the beginning of American involvement in Honduran railways and banana exports. In 1911, Washington backed the overthrow of Liberal President Davila and backed the re-instalment of Bonilla due to the latter's support of US impresario Samuel Zemurray's scheme for the growth and export of bananas from Honduras.
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Samuel Zemurray


Bananas and American Intervention.
Zemurray's Cuyamel Fruit Company had obtained concessions for fruit plantations and proceeded with the construction of a cross-country railway. By 1913, the US-owned United Fruit Company countrolled two-thirds of Honduram Banana exports. In 1919, US Marines intervened for a second time to quell civil disturbances. US troops returned in 1924 to defend American interests and back the government during electoral violence. The nationalist Miguel Paz Barahona won the election but national autonomy was dimmed as the reailway debt to Britain rose to $125 million. In 1928, Zemurray's Cuyamel Fruit Company persuaded two liberal candidates to retire and financed his own candidate, Vincente Mejira Conlindres who became president, defeating Tiburcio Carias Andino. But the 1932 elections saw Mejira lend his support to Carias as the latter won the presidency but only with a four-year term limit. In November of that year Liberals marched against Tegucigalpa and Carias repelled them with air strikes and military support from El Salvador.

The Carias Dictatorship.

From 1932 to 1948 Carias and his National Party would rule with unlimited power. The process began in 1936 when Congress gave him a six-year extension to his four-year term limit. In 1939 Liberal opponents were assassinated on Carias' orders. World War Two saw the dictatorship win US backing in the name of the war effort against Germany. In 1944 a women's protest march in Tegucigalpa was met with mass arrests. A demonstration in San Pedro was dispersed with bloody repression.

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Tiburcio Carias Andino

The Cold War
1954 saw military conflict narrowly avoided as Communists from Guatemala crossed the border into Honduras. In the same year, a three-month strike against United Fruit set new labour standards for Central America.

RELEVANT DATES:

1890- Liberal party founded.

1894- Nicaragua imposes Liberal president Policarpo Bonilla. Liberals in power until 1903.

1903- Conservatives take power in a coup d'etat.

1932- Carias and his conservative National Party win election. Constitution bars re-election after one 4-year term.

-November- armed Liberals march on Tegucigalpa from San Lorenzo. With Salvadoran support, Carias has rebels attacked from the air at El Sauce.

-last congressional elections for many years. All government powers concentrated in the hands of the presidency.

1932-1949- rule of Tiburcio Carias Andino's rightist National Party of Honduras. Martial law will last until 1946.

1936- Congress gives Carias a 6-year extension of his 4-year term, according to a revised constitution.

1939- Congress extends Carias' term until 1949, contrary to constitution.

1944- Carlos Ribiera Reina, a Liberal Party activist inprisoned for oppostion to Carias regime.

May- 300 women march in protest against Carias in Tagucigalpa. Protestors rounded up.

July 6- protest in San Pedro met with bloody repression.

1948- Carias retires and resigns. Juan, Manuel Galvez, the government candidate for president, wins elections easily.

-1957- National Party falls from power for the first time since 1932.

1957- civilian president ousted by military. A new Liberal president and congress are elected. A new constitution is brought in. -Ramon Villeda Morales becomes the first Liberal president elected in 25 years.

1963- Colonel Oswaldo Lopez Avellano ousts Villeda in a military coup.

1981- Roberto Suazo Cordova, a Liberal, becomes first civilian president in more than a century after US pressure for democratic relections due to increasing regional instability.

1986- a Liberal, Jose Azcona Del Hoyo elected civilian president after a law was passed limiting presidents to one term.

1993 -November- Carlos Reina- Liberal and human rights activist elected president, promises to reform the judiciary and limit the power of the army.

-Dec 2, Honduras' ruling party said it had enlisted 300 lawyers to check results of the country's disputed presidential election for evidence of fraud. Officials still hadn't declared Honduras' new president, five days after the country's contentious election.


2005 December - Liberal Party's Manuel Zelaya is declared the winner of presidential elections after his ruling party rival concedes defeat.


Dec 23, In Honduras, official results confirmed that opposition candidate Manuel Zelaya won the presidency in November elections.


2006- Jan 27, In Honduras Manuel Zelaya was inaugurated as the new president. He promised to fight corruption and help criminal and gang members become useful citizens.


-President Manuel Zelaya visits Cuba, the first official trip by a Honduran president to the island in 46 years. The two countries recently agreed their maritime boundaries after a long-running dispute.


Honduras joins Leftist Bloc


2008 August - Longtime US ally Honduras joins the Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas (ALBA), an alliance of leftist leaders in Latin America headed by Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, a staunch US foe. President Manuel Zelaya says a lack of international support to tackle chronic poverty forced him to seek aid from Venezuela.


Zelaya Ousted in Coup by Conservative Opposition


2009- June 28- President Zelaya Ousted in Coup.


June 29- U.S. President Barack Obama has also called for Zelaya’s reinstatement, and the deposed president’s wife and youngest son are being protected at the residence of the U.S. ambassador in Tegucigalpa.


July 1- In a key next step, OAS Secretary General José Miguel Insulza is seeking to meet in a third country with a delegation of Honduras's coup leaders to demand Mr. Zelaya's reinstatement.


July 2- Zelaya, 56, who originally planned to return on July 2, delayed his trip until the OAS decision.


July 3-
A caretaker government in Honduras said yesterday it was open to holding early elections to resolve the impasse over ousted President Manuel Zelaya, as the Organization of American States readied a mission to push for his reinstatement.

July 4- The Organization of American States suspends Honduras.


July 5- Ousted President Manuel Zelaya leaves Washington, D.C., on Sunday on a Venezuelan jet heads for Honduras, but the country's interim government vows to prevent his return and blocks the runway at the airport in Tegucigalpa forcing his plane to turn around.


July - The US refuses to recongnize the new government in Honduras, suspends aid and demands the return of Zelaya.


-the Organization of American States refuses to the recognize Zelaya and demands his reinstatement as president.


-In San Jose, Costa Rica, President Oscar Arias convenes talks between Zelaya and the interim government. The Arias Plan is accepted by Zelaya but rejected by the Honduras interim government.


-September- Zelaya returns to Honduras and takes refuge in the Brazilian Embassy. Interim president Micheletti demands that Brazil hand him over. Brazil's President Lula refuses. Micheletti threatens to close the embassy.


-Honduran interim government closes down media which support Zelya or critical of the government.


October- proxies for interim president Micheletti and for Zelaya begin talks in an attempt to find a settlemet.


-from his refuge inside the Brazilian Embassy, Zelaya demands the restoration of civil liberties in Honduras and the removal of troops surrounding the embassy.



RECENT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS.

Post-War US Support for Honduran Dictatorships.
A long period of military dictatorship backed by Washington began in 1957 with the overthrow of a civilian government. The United States saw a militarized, authoritarian Honduras as a rock of stability in the midst of Communist subversion in Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala. 1963 saw another civilian government toppled, this tme by Colonel Oswaldo Lopez Avellano who retained power through a rigged eelction in 1965. After the "Soccer War" of 1969, civilian rule had a brief rebirth in 1971-1972 before President Ramon Ernesto Cruz was overthrown and dictatorship resumed under Colonel Lopez Avellano who was soon accused of acceptring bribes in 1974. The following year he was forced from power and his government fell in disgrace as a bribery scandal involving high officials led to the suicide of United Fruit Company chairman E.M. Black. Military dictators came and went in the late 1970s and in 1981 Roberto Suazo Cordova was elected the first civilian president in decades.

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Oswaldo Lopez Avellano

Honduras Becomes a US Base in the Contra War.
In the early 1980s, civil wars in neighbouring El Salvador and Nicaraua led to concentration of power in the hands of General Gustavo Alvarez who set up counterinsurgency training camps and eventually assumed political power. He duly benefited when US President Reagan lifted the embargo on arms sales to military governments. By 1982, US-backed Nicaraguan Contras had set up bases in Honduras in efforts to bring down Nicragua's leftist Sandinista government and Honduras-based rebels began kidnapping businessmen for ransom. Alvarez, meanwhile, unleashed death squads, killing left wing activits and trade union leaders. President Reagan provided direct aid to the Honduran militaty in 1986 and Honduran troops threatened Nicaragua from the border. In the same year, a law was passed limiting presidents to single terms and a civilian president came to power once again with the election of Jose Azcona Del Hoyo. Amnesty was extended, military men and left wing guerillas accused of abuses.

Political Tensions in the Wake of the War.
Disappeareacnes and killings continued at the hands of right wing death squads and General Avellanos was assassinated. Two civilian presidents, a neo-liberal, Rafeal Callejas and a political liberal, Carlos Reina who promised to investigate human rights abuses, augured change. In 1995, military officers were, for the first time, charged with human rights abuses. 1997 saw the strengthening of civilian control with the election of Carlos Flores, a Liberal. By 1999, both the police and the military were under civilian control. In the same year, old tensions resurfaced as Honduras and Nicaragua narrowly avoided war over a border dispute and Nicragua protested a treaty between Colombia and Honduras over control of the Caribbean.

The Crisis of Lawlessness.
In 2000, a Honduran human rights body announced that 1,000 street children had been murdered in Honduras. The following year, the UN asked that Honduras put a stop to extra-judicial killings by police and in 2002, the newly elected president, Ricardo Maduro, declared that the army would now investigate murders allegedly carried out by police. While foreign relations strenghtened in 2003 with the restoration of diplomatic ties to Cuba, an agreement with the US to send troops to Iraq and a Central American free trade deal with Washington (approved by the Honduran congress in March 2005) , the problem of gangs, prisons and lawlessness increased in 2004 with the death of 100 inmates in a prison fire in San Pedro Sula. In December, 28 died when the Mara Salvatrucha gang, demonstrating opposition to the death penalty, ambushed a bus filled with holiday travellers.

President Zelaya
After disputes over election fraud were resolved, the election of a Liberal, Manuel Zelaya was confirmed on December 23, 2005. In July 2007 it was revealed that the US had set up a base in the north east of the country to combat drug trafficking. Controversy around Zelaya increased in when the president declared that the government version of events would be broadcast for two hours a day for ten days, to counteract misinformation. In the fall, Zelaya visited Cuba, the fiirst visit by a Honduran president in 46 years. His left-leaning policies gained strength when Honduras joined the Bolivarian Alternative for Americas, the South American bloc of left-leaning nations inaugurated by Venezuela's Hugo Chavez. Zelaya explained that increasing poverty in Latin America gave him little choice.

Zelaya Ousted in Coup.
On June 29, 2009, conservative members of Congress, protesting President Zelaya's moves to change the constitution in order to allow himself another term in office, ousted him in a military coup and sent in exile to Costa Rica. Roberto Micheletti became the interim president. Over the following days, Wahsington and the Organization of American States demanded his reinstatement, the OAS finally suspending Honduras from membership. Protesters supporting Zelaya were regualry dispersed by police, often with violence. In July, Washington refused to recognize Michelletti's interim government. Hugo Chavez, and many new South American left wing governments which have declared solidaruty with Chavez's Bolivarian revolution supported Zelaya's attempts to recover the Honduran presidency. The crisis quickly bcame a foocus for the entire Latin American region which, since the rise of Chavez in the 1990s, has been polarized between left and right. Talks between Zelaya and the interim government were convened in San Jose by Costa Rican president Ocar Arioas. The Arias Plan, a propsed settlement that would see Zelaya finish his term before new elections, was accepted by Zelaya but rejected by Micheletti. Throughout the remainder of the summer, tensions increased as Zelaya attempted to return by by air, only to be refused landing rights as troops blocked the runways at the Tegucigalpa airport. In another confrontation, he and his supporters in Nicaragua faced troops on the Honduras border. In September, he finally arrived back in Honduras only to face arrest whereupon he took refuge in the Brazilian embassy. Brazil's president Lula lent hs support, refusing a request by the interim government to expel Zelaya from the Brazilian embassy.


REMOTE BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS:

As early as 900 BCE, there was human settlement in Honduras. Mayan empires endured from the eighth through the fourth centuries.

Colonial Period.
Henrando Cortes sent his lieutentant Las Casas to explore Honduras for Spain in 1525 and indigenous tribes under the heroic chieftain,Lempira mounted resistance to Spanish settlement throughout the mid-16th century. From 1543, until the early 19th century Honduras, Nicaragua and Chiapas were part of Spain's Captaincy General. British pirates inhabited the the Caribbean coast during the 17th century while the Spanish developed the interior.

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La Dia de Lempira- commemorating the chieftain who resisted the Spanish.

Independance Versus Confederation.
Honduras was essentially the political vauum left after the formation of Nicaragua, Guatemala and El Salvador; this rugged, infertile and thinly populated area, with most of its wealth undergound or on the north coast, would prove diffitult to rule.
The regional move toward independence after 1821 brought about difficulties and inevitable conflicts as regions strove to define themselves as nations during parallel attempts to form a larger and stronger federal, Central American union. In 1823, Honduras joined Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala as part of the United Provinces of Central Ameirca, which distintegrated in 1839 after a civil war in which Rafeal Carrera of Guatemala turned against the Honduran president of the union, Francisco Morazan. Morazan was defeated and Honduras became an independent state in 1840.

PROFILE: Born around 1867, Tiburcio Andino Carias came from a mixed Indian, black and white background. In his youth, he served as a cook for a Liberal guerilla group led by his brothers and in 1907 fought with the Liberals, backed by Nicragua, against Tegucigalpa. After the Liberal vctory he obtained a law degree. In 1923 he left the Liberals for the conservative National Party, failed to win the election, but victory in the civil war that followed elevated him to the presidency which he held with strong support from the United Fruit Company. 1924 and 1928 saw electoral defeats and he lived in temporary retirement as a small farmer while his wife ran a road house. He was re-elected in 1932 and immediately quelled a Liberal uprising by force. In 1936 , he had his four-year single term limit extended by congress to six years. In 1939, he got another three years added, keeping him in power until his retuirement in 1948. Most of his rule was a tyranny in which local and federal democracy was suspended, although he did expand Honduras's dismal network of roads and brought in a degree of education reform. (courtesy of William Krehm- 'Democracies and Ryrannies of the Caribbean)

EYE-WITNESS: May 27, 1944: "Now it was was war without quarter between the dictator nand the people. In Tegucigalpa Varias peddled cynical tales: the demonstrators had tried assaulting the barracks...in another version they had broken into a bank...Four months after this excitement I interviewed Carias. Iron gates clocked behind me as I entered a massive castle...I was received...and ushered into the presence of the deictator...When I enquired why the ailing democrat Trejo Castillo had been kept in prison so long, Carias pointed plaintively to the broken panes and replied: 'That is what he got the mob to do. 'Tjey almost assassinated me.' he had, he told, me, given the country peace during his lengthy rule .The previous civil wars had left only destruction in their wake. On the lips of a man who had devoted four decades to such revolutioneering, the words had an odd ring. I asked whether or not he was defeating his laudable purpose by staying on as president: for months, Honduras had been heaving with demonstrations, shooting, invasions, bombings, all of which could be ended by the simple device of free elections. "They will have their elections," he rumbled, "but in 1948." -William Krehm, Democracies and Tyrannies of the Caribbean.

PLUS CA CHANGE:
In 1936, the Honduran congress extended President Tiburcio Carias' four-year term in office by two years. With the help of more extensions along with martial law, he would remain in power until 1946. In 2008, Honduran president Manuel Zelaya attempted to get congress to extend his term limit but in 2009 was overthrown in a right wing coup d'etat.


TIMELINE FOR THE HISTORY OF HONDURAS:

Ancient Honduras

900 BC- burial caves in Honduras.

435-950 AD- Mayan city of Copan.

763 -Yax Pasah, Copan’s last dynastic ruler.

Early Colonial Period

1502- Columbus, on fourth voyage, sights the Honduran coast. Names the land Honduras, meaning, "great depths"

1500-1600- (circa) Lenca chieftain Lempira mounts resistance to the Spanish. Groups of Maya inhabit the west,

1514- the Spanish penetrate the coast.

1524- Hernando Cortes sends an expeditionary force under his llieutenant, Las Casas to quell and insurrection by his subordinate Olid. But Olid manages a successful resisitance and captures Las casas.

1525-1539- Spanish conquest of Honduras.

The Captaincy General

1543-1773- Honduras, Nicaragua and Chiapas ruled by Spain's Captaincy General of Guatemala.

1576- Spanish discover ruins of Copan in westerm Honduras.

1600s- British pirates occupy parts of the Caribbean coast while the Spanish occupy the interior.

1797 - 5,000 black Carib Indians, the Garifuna or Garinagu exiled from St. Vincent Island to Roatan Island off Honduras.
Declaration of Independence and the United Provinces of Cent Am.

1821- Honduras declares independence as part of general declaration by the Captaincy General of Guatemala- both become part of the Mexican empire of Iturbide.

-Great Britain continues to control the Honduran coast.

-scattered villages among low, rough mountains and infertile valleys make settlement and rule difficult. Hondura will appear as a 'vacuum' among Nicaragua, Guatemala and El Salvador, who will interfere regularly in its politics.

1823- Honduras joins Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala as part of the United Provinces of Central America

1835 (curca)- Federalist soldiers of the United Provinces kill relatives of Guatemalan bandit and farmer Rafael Carrera; he swears vengeance.

1836- Honduras begins to become independent

1838- Carrera rules much of Guatemala.

1839- Civil war between Rafael Carrera and Francisco Morazan, Liberal president of the United Provinces of Central America. Morazan is defeated. Federation dissolves into Costa Rica, Nicaraua, El Salvador and Hondiras.

Honduras an Independent State

1840- Honduras achieves full independence. But the mines developed until then are now neglected.

1851- new constitution.

Problems of Transportation and Communication.

-US starts planning and projecting a railway from the Caribbean to the Pacific.

1860- Sept. 12- William Walker, US adventurer and invader of Nicaragua is captured by British and exectued by Honduran government.

1867-1870- British extend loans to plot a railway- but much of it is wasted in corruption.

-the capital is still a country town connected to Honduras by mule tracks.

The Stable Period.

1876-1883- regime of Marco Aurelio DeSoto provides rare stability.

-foreign capital begins to be used to develop gold mines.

1883-1891- with regime of Luis Borgan, stability continues.

1890- Liberal party founded.

Interference by Nicaragua and Guatemala.

1894- Nicaragua imposes Liberal president Policarpo Bonilla. Liberals in power until 1903.

1899- the US comapny United Fruit had made Honduras into a one-export Republic.

1903- Conservatives take power by force.

1906- El Salvador and Honduras combine to fight Cabrera of Guatemala. US sponsored peace conference to form a peaceful Central American federation in Costa Rica is boycotted by Nicaragua's Zelaya who feels he should lead it.

1907- Feb 20- Honduran president Bonilla launches attack against invading forces of Nicaraguan president Zelaya. Honduras defeated. Carias fighting as an officer among Liberals who supported Zelaya.

US Interference for Bananas and Railways.

1907- US marines land in Honduras to protect American interests during civil disturbance.

1910- President Miguel Davila accepts loan from State Department to pay off British railway loans.

1911- Feb 8- US assists in the overthrow of President Manuel Devila in order to support US impressario Samuel Zemurray's plans to start a banana business with the support of the Conservative manuel Bonilla.

Oct 1- Bonilla elected president with US help.

The Banana Monopolies

-Zemurray obtains concessions for Banana plantations for his Cuyamel Fruit Company and to build a trans-national railway.

1913- the American United Fruit Company controls two-thirds of Honduras' banana exports- the culmination of US inroads since the llate 19th century.

1919- Sept 11- second invasion of Honduras by US marines.

1920- downfall of Cabrera in Guatemala gives rise to new central American Union but new government in Guatemala opposes it.

1922- Feb 11- US marines withdraw from Honduras.

US Marines Protect US interests in Power Struggle.

1924- Feb 28- US marines sent to Hoduras to protect American intrerests during electoral violence.

-civil war develops

March 19- US troops arrive in Tegucigalpa to prevent overthrow of government by rebel forces.

-Nationalist Miguel Paz Barahona becomes president.

1926- debt to Britian for railway has risen to $125 million since 1870.

Carias and His Extended rule.

1928- Cuyamel Fruit Company arranges for 2 liberal candidates to retire in favour of Vincente Mejira Colindres bankrolled by Cuyamel in election. Carias defeated.

1932- Carias wins election with support from Mejira. Constitution bars re-election after one 4-year term.

-November- armed Liberals march on Tegucigalpa from San Lorenzo. With Salvadoran support, Carias has rebels attacked from the air at El Sauce.

-last congressional elections for many years. All government powers concentrated in the hands of the presidency.

Carias Dictatorship.

1932-1949- rule of Tiburcio Carias Andino's rightist National Party of Honduras. Martial law will last until 1946.

1933- Carias brings in internal passports.

1934- earthquake in central Honduras.

1936- Congress gives Carias a 6-year extension of his 4-year term, according to a revised constitution.

1938- Carias has Liberals Justo Umana and M.A. Zapata assassinated in Guatemala on orders from Carias.

1939- Congress extends Carias' term until 1949, contrary to constitution.

-some imprivements in education are made under the Caria government

1943- US Embassy discourgaes oppistion to Carias on grounds of the war effort.

November- Guatemalan minister uncovers a plot to assassinate Carias imprisons 28 accsued.-

1944- Carlos Ribiera Reina, a Liberal Party activist inprisoned for oppostion to Carias regime.

Carias Represses Dissent.

May- 300 women march in protest against Carias in Tagucigalpa. Protestors rounded up.

July 6- protest in San Pedro met with bloody repression.

1948- Carias retires and resigns. Juan, Manuel Galvez, the government candidate for president, wins elections easily.


The Cold War


1954- May 25- immiment war between Honduras and Guatemala as Guatemalan Communists cross border into Honduras.

1954- 3-month strike against US United Fruit Company. They set a new landmark for unions in Central America and win labour reforms.

1955- Honduras brings in its first labour code.

Ascent of the Military with US Support.

-1957- National Party falls from power for the first time since 1932.

1957- civilian president ousted by military. A new Liberal president and congress are elected. A new constitution is brought in.

-Ramon Villeda Morales becomes the first Liberal president elected in 25 years.

1960- Central American Common Market inaugurated.

Lopez Avellano

1963- Colonel Oswaldo Lopez Avellano ousts Villeda in a military coup.

-US recognizes Honduras as an island of stability between El Salvador, Guatemala and Nicaragua, because of its constant military rule.

1965- Lopez has himself re-elected in a fraudulent vote.

1969- June 27- soccer war, border war and conflict over immigration with El Salvador

1971-1972- Ramon Ernesto Cruz elected president.

1972- civilian president Ernesto ousted in military coup by Lopez.

1974- Lopez accused of accepting bribes from a US business.

1974- September- 5,000 killed in Hurricane Fifi.

1975- Lopez steps down after United Fruit Company chairman E. M. Black commits suicide over bribery scandal involving high Honduras officials including Lopez himself.

-Lopez is succeeded by Alberto Melgar Castro.

Honduras as a US Military Outpost.

-Colonel Juan Alberto Melgar Castro takes power.

1978- General Polycarpo Paz Garcia overthrows Melgar.

-Honduras becomes the largest recipient of US aid in the region.

1980- General Paz signs peace with El Salvador.

1981- Roberto Suazo Cordova, a Liberal, becomes first civilian president in more than a century after US pressure for democratic relections due to increasing regional instability.

-General Gustavo Alvarez has disproortionate power as head of the armed forces and sets up training camps for counterinsurgency in El Salvador in Honduras.

1982- President Rios Montt of Guatemala meets Prsident Reagan in Honduras. Reagan lifts embargo on weapons sales to military rulers.

The Sandinista War and a Base for the Contras.

1982- US-backed Contras set up in Honduras in a fight to bring down the Sandinista government in Nicaragua.

-Salvadoran refugees given refuge in camps inside Honduran border.

1982- rebels kidnap 1o4 businessmen and officials.

1982-83- Alvarez used death squads to imprison trade union leaders and leftist activists as opposition increases. 184 killed by death squads in 1980-1989.

1983- Oct- military crushed leftist rebels at Olancho, killing 100.

1983- US builds air base at El Aguacate.

1984- Alvarez is deposed amid mass demonstrations. Salvadoran counterinsurgency camps are closed but Honduras continues to host US backed Contras against Nicaragua in return for aid.

-General Walter Reyes is deposed by junior officers for his plans to involve the military in the region's wars.
-splits in main politcal parties over the presidential succession.

1986- Reagan orders aid to Honduran army; US helicopters ferry Honduran troops to border with Nicaragua.

1986- a Liberal, Jose Azcona Del Hoyo elected civilian president after a law was passed limiting presidents to one term.

1987- amnesty extended both to the military and leftist guerillas accused of human rights abuses.

The Excesses of the Right; Response from the Left.

1988- increase in activity by right wing death squads.

-US sends 3,000 troops to Honduras.

-Inter-American court of human rights finds Honduran government guilty of disappearances of Honurans between 1981 and 1984,

-mass deminstrations against the presence of the Contras brings a state lof emergency.

1989- January- General Alvarez assassinated by leftist guerillas.

1989- February- Central American Summit in El Salvador agrees on demobilization of Contras on Honduran border with Nicaragua.

1990- January- Rafael Callejas Romero becomes president; introduces neo-liberal economics and austerity measures.

-end of the Contra War.

1992- new boundaries with El Salvador determined by International Court of Justice.

1993- March- Government commission to investigate human rights abuses by the military.

-November- Carlos Reina- Liberal and human rights activist elected president, promises to reform the judiciary and limit the power of the army.

1995- compulsory military service abolished.

-military officers charged with human rights abuses for the first time.

Liberalization Under Flores

1997- election of Liberal Carlos Flores as President- he promisews to restructure the army.

1998- May- police pass from military to civilian control, but abuses continue.

-October- Honduras devastated by Hurricane Mitch.

1999- cilvilian authorities take overe control of the army.

1999- November- Honduras ratifies 1986 agreement with Colombia over control of the Caribbean. Nicaragua objects to being excluded.

December- Nicaragua and Honduras agree to halt naval and military monoeuvres in border dispute as they await a solution,

2000- June- Supreme Court rules that atrocities committed in the 1990s are not covered by the 1987 amnesty.

2001-January- Committee for the Defence of Human Rights in Honduras annouces that 1,000 street children were murdered in 2000.

2001- August- UN asks Honduras to pput an end to extra-judicial killings of minors by police.

Crime, Gangs and Police Brutality

2002- January- Ricardo Maduro elected preisdent; declares, over much protest, that the army will take over extra-judicial killings.

2002- January- diplomatic ties restored with Cuba.

2003- May- Congress votes to send troops to Iraq for US.

2003- December Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala and Nicaragua agree to free trade deal with US.


2004 May - Prison fire at San Pedro Sula kills more than 100 inmates, many of them gang members.


-Honduran troops withdraw from Iraq.


-December - Suspected gang members massacre 28 bus passengers in the northern city of Chamalecon.


-Dec 23, In Honduras assailants claiming to be members of a revolutionary group opposed to the death penalty ambushed a bus filled with people bringing home Christmas gifts and killed at least 28 people, including six children, in an escalation of the battle between gangs and the government. On Feb 10, 2005, US Border patrol officials arrested a Honduran gang leader wanted in the massacre. In 2007 a three-judge tribunal found two members of the Mara Salvatrucha gang guilty of killing 28 people in the shooting attack, and acquitted two other men.


2005- Sep 6, Dominican Republic legislators overwhelmingly approved a free-trade agreement with the US and five Central American countries, rejecting arguments that the pact would devastate the domestic sugar industry. The other five countries are Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua. Costa Rica and Nicaragua had not yet ratified the pact.


-Nov 3, The Environmental Investigation Agency, a London-based environmental watchdog said US businesses are unwittingly importing illegal Honduran wood, contributing to deforestation, corruption and social strife in the Latin American country.


-November - Tropical Storm Gamma kills more than 30 people and forces tens of thousands from their homes.

Zelaya Elected.


-Dec 2, Honduras' ruling party said it had enlisted 300 lawyers to check results of the country's disputed presidential election for evidence of fraud. Officials still hadn't declared Honduras' new president, five days after the country's contentious election.


2005 December - Liberal Party's Manuel Zelaya is declared the winner of presidential elections after his ruling party rival concedes defeat.


Dec 23, In Honduras, official results confirmed that opposition candidate Manuel Zelaya won the presidency in November elections.


2006- Jan 27, In Honduras Manuel Zelaya was inaugurated as the new president. He promised to fight corruption and help criminal and gang members become useful citizens.


Free Trade Deal With US


- April - Free trade deal with the US comes into effect. The Honduran Congress approved the Central American Free Trade Agreement (Cafta) in March 2005.


-Honduras and neighbouring El Salvador inaugurate their newly-defined border. The countries fought over the disputed frontier in 1969.


-Jul 15, A Honduras newspaper quoted a senior military official that the United States is helping Honduras establish a new military base to combat international drug trafficking in the northeastern province of Gracias a Dios.


Rapprochement with Cuba


2007- Feb 28, Honduras named its first ambassador to Cuba in 45 years, completing the restoration of diplomatic ties with communist-run island that were severed during the Cold War.


-2007 May - President Zelaya orders all the country's radio and TV stations to carry government propaganda for two hours a day for 10 days to counteract what he says is a campaign of misinformation.


October - The International Court of Justice in the Hague settles a long-running territorial dispute between Honduras and Nicaragua.


-President Manuel Zelaya visits Cuba, the first official trip by a Honduran president to the island in 46 years. The two countries recently agreed their maritime boundaries after a long-running dispute.


Honduras joins Leftist Bloc


2008 August - Longtime US ally Honduras joins the Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas (ALBA), an alliance of leftist leaders in Latin America headed by Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, a staunch US foe. President Manuel Zelaya says a lack of international support to tackle chronic poverty forced him to seek aid from Venezuela.


Zelaya Ousted in Coup by Conservative Opposition


2009- June 28- President Zelaya Ousted in Coup.


June 29- U.S. President Barack Obama has also called for Zelaya’s reinstatement, and the deposed president’s wife and youngest son are being protected at the residence of the U.S. ambassador in Tegucigalpa.


July 1- In a key next step, OAS Secretary General José Miguel Insulza is seeking to meet in a third country with a delegation of Honduras's coup leaders to demand Mr. Zelaya's reinstatement.


July 2- Zelaya, 56, who originally planned to return on July 2, delayed his trip until the OAS decision.


July 3-
A caretaker government in Honduras said yesterday it was open to holding early elections to resolve the impasse over ousted President Manuel Zelaya, as the Organization of American States readied a mission to push for his reinstatement.

July 4- The Organization of American States suspends Honduras.


July 5- Ousted President Manuel Zelaya leaves Washington, D.C., on Sunday on a Venezuelan jet heads for Honduras, but the country's interim government vows to prevent his return and blocks the runway at the airport in Tegucigalpa forcing his plane to turn around.


July - The US refuses to recongnize the new government in Honduras, suspends aid and demands the return of Zelaya.


-the Organization of American States refuses to the recognize Zelaya and demands his reinstatement as president.


-In San Jose, Costa Rica, President Oscar Arias convenes talks between Zelaya and the interim government. The Arias Plan is accepted by Zelaya but rejected by the Honduras interim government.


-September- Zelaya returns to Honduras and takes refuge in the Brazilian Embassy. Interim president Micheletti demands that Brazil hand him over. Brazil's President Lula refuses. Micheletti threatens to close the embassy.


-Honduran interim government closes down media which support Zelya or critical of the government.


October- proxies for interim president Micheletti and for Zelaya begin talks in an attempt to find a settlemet.


-from his refuge inside the Brazilian Embassy, Zelaya demands the restoration of civil liberties in Honduras and the removal of troops surrounding the embassy.


Friday, March 27, 2009

Afghan Supply Lines At Root of Canadian Deaths.

HISTORY IN THE NEWS:

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DEVOTED TO THE DEEP ORIGINS OF CONTEMPORARY EVENTS AROUND THE WORLD.

SCROLL DOWN FOR:
Afghan Supply Lines At Root of Canadian Deaths.
Previous entiries on Pakistan
Distant Background to the events.
Relevant Dates
Recent Background to the events.
Remote Background to the events.
Timetable for the History of Pakistan.


Afghan Supply Lines At Root of Canadian Deaths.

Hugh Graham, March 23, 2009

The loss of four Canadian soldiers in Afghanistan on Friday bears directly on a problem which has been festering for more than three years. The soldiers were working in an operation to destroy Taliban supply lines and depots in the Arghandab river valley north and west of Kandahar. The drugs-for-arms routes on which the Taliban have depended, since their resurgence in 2005, and the unenforced border regions through which they pass into Pakistan, Iran and Central Asia have become the curse of the NATO-US mission to stabilize the country. But only now, as preparations are made for the US troop surge, is a serious and coordinated effort being made to address the problem. Unfortunately, it may be too late.

As with the Russians before them, it has been the allies’ strategy to secure the main population centres like Kabul, Kandahar, and Herat and the crucial ring road that connects them. But the allies have not had sufficient troop numbers to extend their control outward from the urban areas to cut the Taliban supply lines which run in along the river valleys from the frontier regions. As a rule, opium from the poppy fields along these valleys is taken to cross-border drug bazaars where they are traded for arms and explosives. These are then trekked back up the valleys toward the urban regions like Kandahar where they are used to arm the fighters and mine the roads.

However, the Canadian-U.S. operation in the Arghandab region, north of Kandahar, suggests a new trend. In previous years the Taliban had operated in the country’s periphery and along the ring road in the south and east. The move inward along the Arghandab toward central Afghanistan is likely a result of the Taliban’s increasing presence in the interior around Kabul.

Their success has been due to the supply lines. The main entry point for supply lines in the north is Kunduz, into Tajikistan. In the west, Nimroz and Herat provide access to routes in Iran. In the south, the drug bazaar of Bahram Chah is entry point for supply lines leading from Baluchistan back up the Helmand River to Garmser, which the British have been trying to cut for the last three years. Also in the south, tribal networks in Quetta, Baluchistan, which is the Taliban headquarters, have run arms into the Kandahar region. In the east, the province of Nangarhar provides the Taliban with a drug and arms gateway from supply bases in Pakistan’s lawless tribal areas. It is only a short distance from there to Kabul where their presence is increasing

The Arghandab River valley, which runs north-east from Kandahar toward Kabul, appears to be a growing interior link between the Taliban forces in Kandahar and their growing presence around the capital. Indeed, the river runs almost exactly parallel to the highway from Kandahar to Kabul and appears to be an alternative route for moving fighters and supplies.

That`s why US and Canadian troops are working together in Arghandab. After some success in the east, the American forces recognized, in late February, that the epicentre of the Taliban is now in the south around Kandahar with the capital of the hardcore Taliban close by in Quetta in Pakistan’s southern Baluchistan Province. Kandahar`s Arghandab Valley may well be seen by the Taliban as a key to control of both Kandahar and Kabul. There has been fighting in the valley for the last year and now the Taliban are using the supply route to prepare for the summer fighting season and an attempt to take Kandahar. Friday`s Canadian casualties came during a large Canadian-US operation to disrupt the Arghandab supply centres. But even with the use of its new Chinook attack helicopters, Canada has lost 18 soldiers since September, and at least half of those since the beginning of this month in the Arghandab area.

It`s Taliban recruiting methods that are changing the map of the struggle as the fighting spreads from the periphery, up the river valleys to the interior around Kabul. The insurgents once needed the valleys to move recruits from Pakistan into Afghanistan. Now, Taliban agents from the south have leap-frogged to successful recruiting campaigns around Kabul, raising troops on the spot. They get local support by supplying law enforcement, 24-hour criminal justice and other services which Kabul has failed to provide. With new Taliban insurgent groups springing up in villages in the interior, the valleys now seem to serve as links between those forces and the longer established presence in the south.

Where former president Bush`s troop surge was needed mainly in western and central Iraq, President Obama`s troop surge, which may be coming too late, is now needed almost everywhere in Afghanistan. And there, the terrain is more rugged, with hidden supply routes in deeper and more remote valleys. But, if the prognosis is grim, Canada is at least getting the hang of it: - like the boy who held his finger in the dyke, the Canadians who died trying to secure Arghandab were at least in the right place at the right time.



PREVIOUS ENTRIES ON PAKISTAN:
2/26/09 The Talban's Ancient Geopolitics.
9/10/08 Zardari elected Prime Minister.
8/18/08 Musharraf not to be praised or mourned.
3/25/08- PPP's Gillani is president of Pakistan.
2/20/08- Musharraf loses parliamentary vote.
12/27/07- Benazir Bhutto assassinated.
11/03/07 -Musharraf declares state of emergency.

DISTANT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS: While India began to fall under British control after 1840, the northwestern or Pakistan region, which was mostly Muslim, wasn't formally acquired until the late 19th century. The western, or Pakistan region, had been relatively content under the British Raj but it was the Muslmis of northern India who fared less well and consequently formed the Muslim League which distinguished itself from the larger and mostly Hindu Indian national Congress. This the Muslims who would in future make up Pakistan, were radicalized. Throughout the 1930s, the Muslim League, led by Mohammed al Jinnah, was increasingly alarmed by the power and size of the Hindu INC. In 1940, with the Lahore Resolution, the League declared that if the lot of Muslims didn't improve, Indian Muslims would move for secession. When India became independent in 1947, the Muslim League, rather than share an India dominated by the vastly Hindu INC and a Hindu majority, seceded to form the state of Pakistan in the western region of Baluchistan, Punjab and the Northwest Frontier.
Pakistan's Governor General was Mohammed al Jinnah. Two things were highly significant. The first was that Pakistan's raison d'etre was religious; it was formed as a Muslim state. Secondly, Pakistan inherited a British-made Indian constitution which was inadequate to a region which, despite being Muslim was ethnically diverse.

In 1956, Pakistan was finally given a constitution which proclaimed it an Islamic republic. Two years later, the country's short-lived democracy ended when President Ayub Khan took power in a coup d'etat. The tension between democracy and dictatorship would inform all of Pakistan's future history, west-leaning secular groups tending toward democracy while Muslim religious parties, alarmed by the threats of modern secularism, tending toward dictatorship. The idea of an Islamic State, meanwhile, seemed to be the only solution for an ethnically divided country. The result, time and again, was to be a dictatorship, to some degree Islamic. Yet that did little to solve Pakistan's most deep-seated political problem- how do you define Muslim in a society in which no one agrees on the definition of what it is to be Muslim? But Islam, undefined, remained the shibboleth. Never a marginal force, Islamic radicalism was always close to the centre of power, whether in the army, in government or in the official opposition. The pattern of secular and Muslim rivalry increased. The secular, nationalist and populist Ali Bhutto was elected President. In 1977, he was overthrown by the Islamist General Zia Ul Haq for dividing the country on his platform of "Islamic socialism." Though Islam would never find an official definition, attempts at secularized forms of Islam would only feed the electoral power of the religious zealots who wanted to exploit the very practice of democracy brought in by westernized elites, to form a state along the lines of a 7th century Caliphate. Nevertheless, Bhutto's family was to become a political dynasty and the accepted spearhead of the secular opposition.

Meanwhile, the ever shifting priorities of US foreign policy arrived at support for the Islamic Mujehadeen of Afghanistan in their resistance to the Soviet invasion of 1979. Ul Haq's Islamist regime received backing by Washington in return for help in arming and training the Afghan rebels. In 1978, Ali Bhutto was executed after being charged with corruption and murder. His daughter, the Oxford-educated Benazir Bhutto inherited the mantle of leader of the secular opposition and in 1984 founded the PPP or Pakistan People'd Party. She and her husband, Asif Ali Zardan like her father, would endure periods of arrest and exile and repeated charges of corruption by Islamist parties and governments. In 1988, General Zia Ul Haq was killed in plane crash, rumoured to be an assassination. In the same year, Benazir Bhutto was elected Prime Minister. In 1990 she was ousted on charges of corruption. She was succeeded as prime minister by Nawaz Sharif, chief councillor of Punjab province. Sharif took on the President's right to fire the Prime Minister head on. A forceful fiscal conservative, he faced down the president and the judiciary, eventually giving the position of prime minister almost despotic power. (Born in 1949 in Lahore, Sharif was the son of a Punjab indistrialist. He obtained a law degree and in 1981 became Finance minister for Punjab where he singificantly advanced rural development. In 1985, he became Chief minister of Punjab. On March 31 1988, he was made caretaker after President Zia Ul Haq dismissed both houses of parliament.) In 1988, the year Bhutto was elected, Sharif was re-elected in Punjab before running for Prime Minister on a conservative, anti-corruption platform. In 1990 Bhutto was ousted on charges of corruption. After the election of Sharaf as Prime Minister in November 1990, he worked with the private sector to strengthen Pakistan's industry and land reform for the peasants of Sindh. Despite US sanctions, he achieved economic progress. But in April, 1993, he was dismissed by the president. He was reinstated by the judiciary but after corruption allegations he had to resign along with the president in July. In 1993 Benazir Bhutto was re-elected. Meanwhile, the MML, a powerful alliance of religious parties, was expressly formed by the ISI to block the election of any secular party as well as to gather or to fabricate corruption charges against Benazir Bhutto. In 1996, Bhutto was duly dismissed, again on charges of corruption. In 1997, Sharif was re-elected prime minister and used his overwhelming majority to strip the president of his constitutional power to dismiss the Prime minister. Sharif made the the position of Prime Minister all-powerful, indeed unassailable to the point of dissenting from the Chief Justice. As a result, the president resigned and the supreme court justice was removed. In 1998, in response to social unrest, he suspended many civil liberties and set up military courts. Throughout his career he had already had several run-ins with chiefs of the military. In 1998, Sharif appointed General Musharraf to head the army. But Sharif angered the army by resisting pressure to give it political power, pulling it out of confrontation with India in Kashmir at the behest of the United States and dismissing its head, General Pervez Musharraf. In February 1999, Sharif signed the Lahore Declaration to normalize relations with India. Under pressure from US president Clinton, he withdrew the army from confrontation with India in Kashmir. Electricity shortages led him to put the army in charge of water and power but rumours of selling out to the generals led him to fire Musharraff. On October 12, 1999, Sharif's government was overthrown by Musharraf in a military coup. Charged with conspiracy, he faced criminal charges when the Saudi kingdom intervened and he was allowed to go to exile in Saudi Arabia. In 1999, Musharraf took power in a bloodless military coup and Sharif went into exile. After Al Qaeda's attacks on the United States on 9/11, Musharraf was coerced into supporting Washington's War on Terror, a campaign which would in fact amount to a war against radical Islam in Pakistan and Afghanistan. The US invaded Afghanistan and overthrew the Taliban obliging Musharraf to take up its fight against the Taliban resistance as well as al Qaeda, which had taken refuge in Pakistan's semi-autonomous tribal agencies. Musharraf, still presiding over an army which was at least in part Islamist and traditionally allied with the religious parties, as well as powerful Islamist elements in the ISI intelligence service, has had to walk a tightrope, on the one hand supporting Washington against the Taliban and al Qaeda and on the other, placating the religious parties and Islamist elements in his own government. In 2002, the ISI helped to form 'the King's party' (PML-Q) or the coalition of relgious parties that won Musharraff his electoral majority that year. If anything he needed them on side while he fought the Taliban for Washington. Marsharraf sent the army into Waziristan after the Taliban in the winter of 2003-2004. They were so badly mauled by the Taliban and its tribal alllies among the Mahsuds and Waziris that two peacve deals were stuck, in 2004 and February 2005, leaving Waziristan and effective Taliban "Emirate". By a September 2006 peace deal, by which the Waziristan Taliban would restrict their operations to Afghanistan and refrain from attacking Pakistani forces , Pakistan withdrew its troops to their bases. In Kashmir, meanwhile, Musharraf has cracked down on Islamist Kashmir separatists and made half-hearted attempts to stop the Afghan Taliban insurgency from hiding out in Pakistan. Faced on the other hand with a strong moderate, secular movement, he was been forced, nevertheless, to turn his attention to the development of a powerful Islamist cell in the Red Mosque, in central Islamabad, right under the nose of his intelligence agencies. bloc which has in turn prevented him from cracking down too hard on the Taliban.

RELEVANT DATES:
1935- the Government of India Act is established and will become Pakistan’s constitution in 1947.
1947- Britain agrees to the formation of an independent Pakistan, separate from India.
15 August- Pakistan becomes independent, comprising Sindh, Punjab and North-West Frontier with the Durand line remaining as the border between the two nations. The border still cuts through the region of the Pashtun people- despite Afghan claims on the entire Pashtun region, which includes much of the Baluchistan region of western Pakistan. Before departing the British had drawn the frontier between west Pakistan and India in haste, forcing bordering principlalities to join either India or Pakistan. Mohammed Jinnah is Pakistan’s first president.
1956- Pakistan, heretofore governed by the Government of India Act, is proclaimed an Islamic republic and gets its own constitution.
1958- Ayub Khan, frustrated by the democratic process, takes power in a coup d’etat, abolishing Pakistan’s newfound constitution and democracy.
1958- Zulfikar Ali Bhutto (Benazir's father) joins cabinet as minister of commerce.
1963- Ali Bhutto becomes foreign minister
1967- after expulsion from cabinet, Ali Bhutto founds his own secular democratic party.
1971 -Zulfikar Ali Bhutto elected president- begins in a populist, socialist regime. He brings in nationalization and financial independence from the US.
1977- right wing and Islamist opposition to Bhutto leads to a military coup by General Zia Ul-Haq.
1977-1984 after returning from her education at Oxford, Benazir Bhutto, daughter of Ali Bhutto is sentenced to house arrest.
1978-1988 Zia Ul Haq becomes president, imposes martial law, prohibits political activity and introduces Sharia.
1978- Prime Minister Ali Bhutto is arrested by Zia Ul Haq's regime on charges of corruption and murder.
1979- April 4- after being sentenced to death, Bhutto is hanged.
1984- Benazir Bhutto exiled to England with her mother. Benazir Bhotto founds the PPP, the Pakistan People’s Party.
1986- Benazir Bhutto returns to Pakistan and campaigns for fair elections. She marries in 1987.
1988- President Zia Ul-Haq dies at Dhaka in a plane crash.
1988- Aslam Beg, chief of the Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) forms a coalition of religious parties (the IJI) against canddiate Benazir Bhutto. When the relgious coaltion loses, the ISI throws its support behind her rival, Nawaz Sharif, then Chief Minister of Punjab.
1988- Benazir Bhutto elected Prime Minister. She takes Pakistan back into the Commonwealth.
1990- constant challenges from a conservative presidency leads to the dismissal of Benzir’s Bhutto’s government. She is pursued with corruption charges in a campaign believed to be orchestrated by the ISI. She is charged with corruption. Her husband is placed under arrest for corruption.
1990- behind the scenes, the ISI brokers another coalition against Bhutto and raises large amounts of money to back Sharif.
-Nawaz Sharif succeeds Benazir Bhutto as prime minister.
1991- unrest in Sindh. Meanwhile Benazir Bhutto goes on an international lecture tour
1990s- internal instability due to constant charges of political corruption.
1993- Benazir Bhutto leads opposition to Nawaz Sharif,
-Bhutto elected prime minister of a coalition government. Her regime is plagued by crime, the drugs trade, separatist unrest in Balushistan and Sindh and tribal unrest in the north west frontier.
1996- Benazir Bhutto’s government is dismissed by President Leghari on new charges of corruption and mismanagement.
-1997- Feb. Benazir Bhutto is defeated in elections. She is succeeded by Nawaz Sharif and becomes leader of the opposition.
-Sharif removes a constitutional amendment which gives the president the power to dismiss the prime minister.
1998- Sharif resists pressure from the army to allow the generals a say in government.
Oct. Sharif introduces Sharia or Muslim religious laws throughout the country.
1999- Sharif orders the removal of military forces from Kashmir.
1999- Benazir Bhutto removed as a member of parliament and along with her husband is tried, fined and sentenced for corruption.
-Benazir Bhutto chooses self-imposed exile in Dubai, later in London
1999- Premier Nawaz Sharif, though democratically elected, begins to establish Islamic law throughout the country, despite widespread protest.
-Sharif withdraws the army from Kashmir and dismisses its head, General Musharraf, angering the army.
-General Musharraf takes power in a military coup. Musharraf suspends the constitution, asserts control over the judiciary and parliament.
-Nawaz Sharif agrees to go into exile as an alternative to faving criminal charges.
2001- after the 9/11 attacks, Washington coerces Musharraf into supporting the US War on terror. But this gains Pakistan badly needed international loans..
2002- after the US invasion of Afghanistan, the Taliban are pushed into the border tribal areas of Baluchistan.
-Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) helps to form the the King's Party a coalition of Pakistan Muslim parties to back Musharraf's 2002 presidential election capaign. The MMA, a large alliance of religious parties, the King's Party and Bhutto's PPP are the largest parties in parliament.
-many believe the MMA was patched together by the ISI to support Musharraf.
-the MMA forms an alliance with the 'King;s party' to back Musharraf in the elections.
-Musharraf wins presidential elections. He gains 5 more years in office in a referendum criticized as unconstitutional and biased. He awards himself sweeping new powers.-2002- Musharraf election.
-Musharraf gains 5 more years in office in a referendum seen to be rigged and unconstituional. He awards himself new, sweeping powers.
-after Musharraf is elected, an amendment known as the 'legal framework order' gives him a five year term plus power over many civil institutions and the power to dismiss national and state assemblies. The MMA is indispensable in getting the 'Legal Framework Order' passed into law. The parliament becomes Musharraf's instrument.
-parliament is deadlocked with increased power from the religious parties.
2004-2005- due to losses in the Waziristan offensive against the Taliban and al Qaeda, Pakistan makes various peace deals with local Taliban-supporting tribes. The Taliba effectively control Waziristan.
2007- -January- tensions increase around the radical Red Mosque in Islamabad.
-9 March-mass protests follow Musharraff’s suspension of Pakistan’s Chuef Justice Iftakar Mohammed Choudhury for abuse of power. Chouhury has been probing the armed forces about cases of missing persons.
-11 July- after a week-long stand off, security forces storm and seize the Red Mosque, killing over 80 militants.
-in the wake of the assault on the red Mosque, Waziristan and Pakistan erupt in revenge suicide and bomb attacks. In response to the violence and to US threats to pursue the Taliban inside Pakistan, Musharraf resume the military campaign inside Waziristan.
-20 July- the Supreme Court reinstates Justice Choudhury
-August- Benazir Bhutto holds secret talks with Musharraf about returning to Pakistan to form a partnership with him in upcoming elections providing he resgins from the army.
-Aug. 23- the Supreme Court decides Nawaz Sharif can return to Pakistan.
Sept. 8- General Musharraf has Sharif arrested upon his return to Pakistan. Sharif is exiled again to Saudi Arabia- in defiance of the Supreme Court's August ruling.
-14 September- Bhutto says she will return from exile in London in mid-October.
-16 September- Pakistan's electoral commission amends a clause stating that a government servant cannot run for office without first being retired from their position for two years. A public servant can now run without leaving office. The amended clause would allow President Musharraf to run again for president. Musharraf's term as president expires November 15.
-18 September- presidential lawyers say that Musharraf will step down as army chief only if he is elected president.
-Oct. 5-in a deal with Musharraf opposition PPP leader Benazir Bhutto agrees to abstain rather than to boycott the Pakistan election if the charges against her are dropped before she returns from exile in London.
-Oct. 6- Musharraf sweeps the elections.
-Oct. 12- 2 suicide bombs directed at Bhutto's convoy from airport, kill donzens, upon her return from British exile.
-November- Musharraf declares emergency rule claiming Islamist threats to the government. Opponents charge him with attempting to lengthen his dictatorship as he uses the emergency to sack the Supreme Court on the eve of its decision about the legitimacy of his election as president while still chief of the army.
-Bhutto placed under house arrest as she plans a march against emergency rule.
-Musharraf says he will work with Bhuttto.
-Musharraf brings in a caretaker government.
-the chief election commissioner determines that elections for Prime Minister will be held on January 8, 2008.
-the election commission ratifies Musharraf's second five-year term in office.
-Nawaz Sharif allowed to return from exile.
-Musharraf hands over command of the Armed Forces to General Ashfaq Kayani.
-Bhutto says she may boycott the January 8 election.
-December 15- Musharraf ends the state of emergency, restores constitution.
-December 27- Bhutto is shot to death as suicide bombers hit her retinue after a rally in Rawalpindi.
2008- January -Musharraf postpones January 8 elections to February 18 due to instability.
-20 police killed at an anti-Musharraf rally outside the High Court in Lahore.
-Feb 18- the PPP and the PML-N sweep parliamentary elections, reducing Musharraf's PML Q.
The PPP's Asif Bhutto and the PML-N's Nawaz Sharif consider a coalition to oust Musharraf.

RECENT BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS: In January, 2007, tensions developed around the Islamist Red Mosque. Then, in the spring, mass protests erupted against Musharraf's firing of Pakistan's chief justice, Iftakar Mohammed Choudhury on charges of misusing his post. Choudhury, an activist judge, had often demanded the investigation of the country's intelligence services on the issue of missing persons and other matters involving military rule.
It appears the anger about his dismissal was shared both by Islamist and democratic opponents of the government. Meanwhile, weeks of conflict involving Pakistan's Islamist extremists finally culminated in the army's assault on the Red Mosque and the killing of most of its radical defenders which led in turn to counter-attacks by Islamists all around the counrty. To make matters worse for Musharraf, the Supreme Court reinstated Choudhury. With Musharraff weakened by the Choudhury and Red Mosque affairs, Benazir Bhutto, in exile in England, chose the moment to gamble on a return to Pakistan by offering Musharraff a political partnership. As sole viable opposition leader it seemed a wise move. Moreover the return of her old adversary, Nawaz Sharif was nipped in the bud when when Musharraf had him arrested and exiled again at the airport September 8. The future of Pakistan is more likely being played in the Supreme Court than it is on the electoral field. On September 16, the court declared that a civil servant, contrary to former rulings can run for office without a mandatory two years absence from his post- clearing the way for Musharraf to run in elections. He had to abide by a promise to resign his army post upon taking office. He had to honour a pledge for Benazir Bhutto to return to Pakistan on October 17 free of corruption charges in return for having her her PPP party abstain instead of voting against him. Such was the atmosphere in Pakistan that Bhutto, arriving from exile in Britain, narrowly escaped death from a suicide attack on her convoy. On November 3, Musharraf declared a state of emergency allegedly on the grounds of a conspiracy from religious militants, though it was generally believed that he was merely lengthening his rule; and indeed he used the emergency to sack supreme court justices before they made a decision on the legitimacy of his election victory while still in uniform. Many of his political opponents were imprisoned; all political activity was banned; there was a crackdown on the media and Bhutto was placed under temporary house arrest to prevent her from leading a rally against the state of emergency. Musharraf promised elections for the post of Prime Minister on January 8 but most doubted that they would be free and fair. On December 15 he ended the state of emergency and restored the constitution, causing some question as to whether the state of emergency had indeed been imposed because of a threat from militants. On December 27, Bhutto, while campaigning in Rawalindi, was assassinated in a suicide bomibing. Nawaz Sharif was the only significant candidate left standing in what appeared to an opposition vacuum, until the PPP declared Bhutto's 19 year old son her successor at the head of the party with her widowed husband Asif Ali Zardari acting as regent in what seems more than ever to be a dynasty. Sharif, meanwhile, instructed his own party to boycott the January vote. Suspicions that Musharaff, through negligence or conspiracy allowed the assassination to happen, resulted in widespread rioting verging on anarchy. At the beginning of 2008, Musharraf postponed the election from January 8 to February 19 on grounds of bad security. In the run-up to the elections, suicide bombings took dozens of lives. The intention, most likely, was to prevent what was almost certain to be the return of moderate secular and moderate relgious parties to power.
Nevertheless, Pakistan had the courage to vote.

REMOTE BACKGROUND TO THE EVENTS. From ancient times, the region of the Indus river lay at the frontier between invasion from west and central Asia and the empires of the Indian subcontinent. In the third millenium BC, the Aryans invaded from Central Asia. The Indus, which runs southward from the highlands of Central Asia and forms northwest India's natural border with continental Asia, would provide a route of invasion and migration into India for millennia to come. In the fourth and third centuries BC, the Maurya empire of the Indian subcontinent governed the region as far as Afghanistan. In the early centuries AD, the region of the Indus was invaded and ruled by the Kushans of Central Asia. Thenceforward, southeastward expansion from Asia would form the pattern up until British rule in the 19th century. In 711, Arabs invaded, establishing Islam in the region of Pakistan. Mahmud of Ghazni an Afghan warlord of the Abbasid Caliphate, continued the pattern of conquest from the northwest, conquering Sindh, crossing the Indus and plundering northern India. In the 13th century, the Mongol invasions penetrated the region from the north. In the early16th century, a Central Asian Muslim warlord took the region again. Babur established his rule from central Asia to northern India and founded the empire of the Moghuls which would last until British rule. The late 16th century saw a rare reversal of the pattern in which the Moghul emperor Akbar, from his base in northern India, reconquered Sindh and Afghanistan- establishing enlightened rule and an attempted synthesis of Hinduism and Islam. In the eighteenth century, even as Britain began to colonize India, Persian and Afghan Muslim warlords established brief empires extending south and east across the Indus and into northern, Moghul India. With the British occupation of Sindh, West Punjab, Baluchistan and the Northwest in the late 19th century, the old pattern of conquest from the northwest ended.


TIMELINE FOR THE HISTORY OF PAKISTAN:

-the region west of India encompassing what is now Baluchistan, the Northwest Frontier, West Punjab and Sindh.

3000-1750 BC- the highly developed civilization of Mohenjo-Daro on the Indus River.

1500 –600 BC- migration of Indo-Aryan peoples into western and northern India. Vedic religion develops.

540-512- Persian conquests of northwest India.

327- Alexander the Great takes parts of northwest India.

The Mauryas

321-185 BC- the Mauryan empire- the subcontinent’s first state system which stretches from Afghanistan to southern India.

303 BC- the Greek successor to Alexander, Seleucus is expelled from northwest India and Afghanistan as Changragupta Maurya extends an empire of the central Ganges up to Kabul, Herat and Kandahar.

269-232 BC- 3rd Mauryan ruler, Ashoka, establishes Buddhism in the region.

The Kushans

1-200 AD- the Central Asian Kushan empire rules from north India to Afghanistan to Central Asia.

-the Kushans, caught between pressure from the Hsiang-Nu Chinese in the east and Persia in the west, invade Afghanistan and Sind before conquering part of northern India. The route southeast from central Asia to the Gangetic plain of northern India will be used for repeated invasions, the invaders always coming from the Afghan region and the north.

140 AD- Under Kanishka, the Kushan Empire extends into northern India. Afghanistan is divided between the Kushan Empire on the North and the Parthian empire to the south.

67 AD- the Kushan people, having prevailed from among the Yue Chi, form in force on the northern edges of Afghanistan and displace the Suren dynasty from northern India.

230 AD- the Kushan Empire dissolves into principlalities which rule until 400.

Islam

650 (circa) the Pratihara kingdom stops the Arabs of Sindh from overrunning Rajasthan.

711- Muslim Arabs conquer the Indus valley.

800- Western Afghanistan is the Khorasan region of the Abbasid Empire. Eastern Afghanistan, including Kabul and Kandahar is in the non-Islamic tribal region of the Indus. There is already a circular trade route anticipating the modern ring road from Kandahar to Kabul in the east to Balkh in the north and to Herat in the west.

1020- Mahmud of Ghazni (971-1030), an East Afghanistan Turkic warlord and mercenary for the Abbasid Muslims, is granted autonomy, as 'Sultan' to form his own dynasty.

1000-1027- in 17 raids, Mahmoud of Ghazni conquers a brigand's empire stretching from Kurdistan through Sindh to the Indus. Mahmoud's campaigns are against the Shia Fatimids and non-Muslims like Buddhists and Hindu India. Has a reputation as a bloodthirsty tyrant.

1173-1206- Muhammad of Ghur, another Turkic warlord from Central Asia, also takes Sindh, crosses the Indus, conquering all of northern India and establishing a capital at Delhi which is to remain the capital of Muslim India. His sultanate will last until the arrival of the Moghuls in 1526.

1221- Gengis Khan and the Mongols penetrate the Punjab region.

1296-1306- a subsequent Mongol invasion of northern India is repelled by the sultans of Delhi.

1300- the Valley of the Indis is ruled by the Delhi Sultanate.

1346-1564- Vijayanagar: the last Hindu resistance to Muslim rule.

1398- the central Asian Warlord, Tamerlane, takes Sindh, crosses the Indus and sacks Delhi.

The Moghuls.

1483- the Muslim conqueror Babur fails to establish a kingdom in his native Uzbekistan and instead takes Herat and Kandahar, making them the centre of his future empire.

1545- Kabul is annexed as a Moghul military and administrative area.

1526-761- the region was ruled by the Moghul Emperors.

1526- Babur, the first Moghul, invades India, takes the Gangetic plain and founds the Moghul Empire in India.. A Central Asian warlord, his Moghul empire includes Afghanistan and India.

1540-1545- Babur’s son Humayun loses control to the Afghan chieftan Sher Shah.

1546- battle of Panipat: Humayun’s son Akbar the Great recovers the area from the Afghans, extending it to Deccan.

1542-1605- in a rare reversal of the pattern of invasion, Akbar reasserts control over northern India and crosses the Indus to conquer Sindh and Afghanistan. Liberal and enlightened, he establishes tolerance and attempts to form a synthethis of Hinduism and Islam called the Divine Faith.

1585- the Sikhs are autonomous in the region of Lahore, Pakistan.

1658-1707- the Mogul emperor Aurangzeb pushes the boundaries of the empire southward.

The Marathas- coastal Western India.

1659- Shivaji (1627-1680) gathers local hill-dwellers of Bijapur against the Moghuls. The Moghuls send a force against him but he defeats them.

1660s- Shivaji gains power- his locality growing as a “robber state” by extracting protection money.

1674-1680- Shivaji makes himself Raja of Maratha kingdom in west India as the Moghul empire declines.

-the Emperor Aurangzeb’s defence of the Muslims at the expense of the Hindus leads to war with the Marathas.

The British

1700-1800- the British consolidate their trading power in India through the East India company, taking advantage of the weakened Moghul emperor, Aurangzeb, and make India a British colony.

Nadir Shah

1738- Nadir Shah of Persia invades Afghanistan and northern India, his empire lasting only until his assassination in 1747.

Ahmad Shah

1747- Ahmad Shah (of the Saddozai family, Abdali clan) commander of Nadir's body guard, takes the name Durrani, meaning 'Pearl of the Age' and establishes the Durrani dynasty of Afghanistan, unites varied tribes in southern Afghanistan around their common link: the Pashtun language. He invades the Gangetic plain of India conquering and weakening the last Moghul emperor Aurangzeb. The modern Afghan nation begins to take shape. His empire extends from near the Caspian Sea to India.

-1750- under British and Afghan pressure, the Moghul empire shrinks to an area around Delhi.

-in west, coastal India, the Maratha empire becomes a confederacy of leading local families: Bhonsle, Gaekwad, Holkar and Sindia) under hereditary ministers (Peshwas).

-the Peshwa of Maratha asks for British intervention to settle an internal dispute.

1761- Ahmad Shah defeats the Marathas of India at Panipat

1775-82- first British-Maratha war.

1803-1805- second British-Maratha war.

1818- the Marathas destroyed in a third war with the British.

British Acquire Sindh, Punjab.

-1840s- the region fell under British rule.

1849- -the British atke over the Frontier region from the Sikhs. the Deputy Commissioner, Dera Ismail Khan (NWFP)and Bannu controls all political matters in Waziristan- even though the tribes of neighbouring North Waziristan are under the sovereignty of the Kabul government.

-in Waziristan on the border with Afghanistan, two Pashtun tribes, the Waziris and the Mahsuds use the mountainous region to resist British rule.

1860- 3000 Mahsud tribesmen attack a British regiment base in Tank (present South Waziristan).

1876- Baluchistan becomes a British protectorate.

-birth of Mohammed Jinnah.

1890- the British acquire west Punjab.

1893- the British acquire northern Balushistan.

1893-November , the Emir of Afghanistan signs a treaty renouncing all claims to Waziristan and the North West Frontier territories.

1893- the Durand line forms the limit of British territorial expansion into the Pashtun territories of Afghanistan. The Pashtun region, which had once defined Afghanistan, is split by the new boundary with Afghanistan. Western Pakistan is ceded to British India.

The Durand Line cuts through both Baloch and Pashtun tribes.

1894-95- Extensive British military operations against tribal insurgents in Waziristan.

1904- large scale disturbances in SouthWaziristan resulting murder of the Political Agent and Militia Commandant at Sarwakai

1906- founder of Pakistan, Mohammed Jinnah, joins the Indian National Congress.

1910- North Waziristan is made by the British into a full fledged agency

- the Durand line allows for the border territory of Waziristan to be autonomous, outside of effective British rule. Instead, the British ruled by paying subsidies to tribal chieftains.

-otherwise, the Pakistan region remains generally loyal to the British Raj; its inhabits fare relatively well under the British Raj and are well represented in the army and in government.

-but in northern India, where Muslims fare less well, the Muslim League is formed. Its leader, Jinnah, demands greater rights for Indian Muslims.

1913- in India, Mohammed Jinnah joins the Muslim League.

1915- because of the stresses of World War I, the Brtish make a peace deal in Waziristan. But instead, Waziri tribes attack, inflicting heavy losses on the British. The British retalliate with aerial ombardment.

1919- British road building and fortification i Waziristan only results in more bloody tribal attacks.

1919- the Third Afghan War. Pashtun tribes under Afghan warlord Ananullah, on both sides of the Durand line, defeat the British. The British concede nationhood to Afghanistan by the Treaty of Kabul. Ananullah attempts westernizing reforms.

The Hindu Indian National Congress vs. the Muslim League.

1930s- Ghandi’s vastly Hindu Indian National Congress, makes it more urgent for the Muslims in the north to form some sort of defensive association.

-as Muslims become marginalized, Mohammed Jinnah steps up the rhetoric of the Muslim League.

1931- seeing little hope in the face of the INC, Jinnah resigns.

1935- Jinnah returns to the Muslim League under popular pressure and reorganizes it along nationalist lines.

1935- the Government of India Act is established and will become Pakistan’s constitution in 1947.

1937- the Muslim league fares badly in Indian elections.

1940, March 23- The Pakistan or Lahore Resolution- Muslims declare that if their lot doesn’t improve, they’ll move toward creating a separate homeland. This is especially popular in the Muslim majority states of the northwest.

1945-1946- the Muslim league makes a powerful showing in provincial elections in India.

-Lord Mountbatten urges the secession of Pakistan.

Indian Independence, Formation of Pakistan.

1947- India becomes independent.

1947- Britain agrees to the formation of an independent Pakistan, separate from India.

-on partition of the sub-continent , the tribal leaders of Waziristan agreed to be a part of Pakistan, but with special terms and conditions.

15 August- Pakistan becomes independent, comprising Sindh, Punjab and North-West Frontier with the Durand line remaining as the border between the two nations. The border still cuts through the region of the Pashtun people- despite Afghan claims on the entire Pashtun region, which includes much of the Baluchistan region of western Pakistan. Before departing the British had drawn the frontier between west Pakistan and India in haste, forcing bordering principlalities to join either India or Pakistan.

-As Governor General, Mohammed Jinnah is Pakistan’s first head of state.

-East Pakistan formerly East Bengal, 1000 miles distant, is included in the new Pakistan.

-an exodus of about 5 million Sikhs and Hindus from West Pakistan into India.

1947- after much bloodshed, the western region separates from India to from the independent Muslim state of West Pakistan, and, on the other side of India in East Bengal, of East Pakistan.

-tension develops between populous East Pakistan and the dominance of West Pakistan which has the vast majority of educated government personnel

-North West Pakistan remains restive because of a history of devout Islam and relative autonomy under the British, while Pnjab has a history of close participation in the British administration.

-unable to find a constituion to govern its discordant entities, Pakistan will be governed by the Government of India act until 1956.

-August 14, 1947- death of Mohammed Jinnah, founder of Pakistan.

Pakistan-Afghan Tensions

-Afghan king Zahir Shah claims the Pathan (western Pashtun) state from Pakistan. Meanwhile, he extracts support from both the US and the Soviet Union

--the Waziristan tribes, led by the Faqir of Ipi, receive arms from Afghanistan which agitates for a fully independent Pashtunistan of all pashtun borderlands, including Waziristan.

-but Waziristan frnally becomes part of Pakistan with Pakistani independence. Pakistan still rules Waziristan as the British did, with subsidied paid to tribal chieftains.

1948 -Afghanistan opposes formation of Pakistan, refusing to accept the Durand line- starting rivalry between them.

-Pakistan moves thousands of Pashtuns into the border area as a bulwark between Baluchis and Afghanistan

Kashmir

1948-the Raja of Kashmir, Hari Singh, a Hindu, finds himself ruling an area with a Muslim majority. After a Pakistan-supported Muslim uprising in west Kashmir, India offers help, provided that Kashmir then becomes part of India. Pakistan, angey that it wasn;t consulted, supports the Muslim insurgents.

1949- the UN brokers a caesefire in Pakistan’s skirmish with India over Jammu and Kashmir. A planned UN-sponsored pleiscite over the fate of the area is never held.

1949- Cease-fire Line of Control (LOC) drawn between Kashmir and Pakistan

1950- Ayub Khan appointed first chief of the Pakistan military.

1956- Mar 23- Pakistan, heretofore governed by the Government of India Act, is proclaimed an Islamic republic and gets its own constitution.

1958- Oct 7- President Iskander Mirza annuls the constitution and declares martial law, turning powers over to army chief Ayub Khan.

Ayub Khan

1958- Ayub Khan, frustrated by the democratic process, takes power in a coup d’etat, abolishing Pakistan’s newfound constitution and democracy.

1958- Zulfikar Ali Bhutto joins cabinet as minister of commerce.

1962- Ayub Khan brings in a new constitution enacting "basic democracy" or local democracy while abolishing democracy at the national level.

1963- Ali Bhutto becomes foreign minister.

1965- war breaks out as India occupies Muslim Kashmir. Russia’s Kosygin brokers a caese-fire.

1967- after expulsion from cabinet, Ali Bhutto founds his own secular democratic party.

1969- Ayub Khan resigns due to economic difficulties.

1970- democratic elections. Yahya Khan is president.

Civil War with East Pakistan

1971- When East Pakistan’s Awammi league wins the elections, West Pakistan, under Yahya Khan refuses to recognize the result. East Pakistan breaks away from West Pakistan in a civil war and becomes independent as Bangladesh.

-the civil war embraces Kashmir. India intervenes on behalf of Mujibur Rahman and the Awami League.

-fighting breaks out on the western India-Pakistan frontier.

Ali Bhutto

-Zulfikar Ali Bhutto elected president- begins in a populist, socialist regime. He brings in nationalization and financial independence from the US.

1972- India prevails in an uneasy peace. Cease-fire line between Kashmir and Pakistan (Line of Control) reasserted. Under the Simla agreement both sides agree to settle future disputes by negotiation.

1973- due to the OPEC oil crisis, Pakistan is thrown into economic turmoil.

1974- India tests its first nuclear bomb.

General Zia Ul Haq overthrows the Bhuttos

1977- right wing and Islamist opposition to Bhutto leads to a military coup by General Zia Ul-Haq.

1977-1984 after returning from her education at Oxford, Benazir Bhutto, daughter of Ali Bhutto is sentenced to house arrest.

1978- Prime Minister Ali Bhutto is arrested by Zia Ul Haq's regime on charges of corruption and murder.

July 5- Bhutto is released.

July 29- Bhutto begins campaigning for his return to power.

Sept 3- Bhutto is re-arrested and freed on bail September 13.

Sept 17- Bhutto is imprisoned.

Oct 24.- Bhutto is tried for vote rigging, corruption and the murder of a political opponent.

1979- April 4- after being sentenced to death, Bhutto is hanged.

1978-1988 Zia Ul Haq becomes president, imposes martial law, prohibits political activity and introduces Sharia.

On behalf of U.S., Pakistan backs the Afghan Mujehadeen against the Soviets.

1979- Zia ul Haq repairs US relations by backing the US- supported Afghan Muhehadeen against the Soviet invasion. US support leads to high economic growth throughout the 1980s.

-Pakistan takes on 3 million Afghan refugees.

1984- Benazir Bhutto exiled to England with her mother. Benazir takes leadership of the PPP, the Pakistan People’s Party.

-the US arms Pakistan to back the Afghan Mujehadeen against the Soviet Union. This escalates the arms race between India and Pakistan.

-Quetta, Baluchstan becomes a base for Afghan Mujehadeen fighting the Societs.

-Sunni radical madrassas of Pakistan supported by Saudi Arabia, that began in the 1980s- are seen as a bulwark against Iran. They in turn give rise to the Taliban. So the Taliban arise from the confrontnation of Saudi Arabia with Iran.

-in south Asia, Shia are assertive- so India and Pakistan (largest Shia pop at 30 million, after Iran) become the battleground of Saudi-Iranian rivalry in the 80s and 90s.

-India and Pakistan have both acquired nuclear weapons.

1986- the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation is established and relieves tension between the two nuclear powers.

Return of Benazir Bhutto

1986- Benazir Bhutto returns to Pakistan and campaigns for fair elections. She marries in 1987.

1980s-1990s- Islamist groupb Lashkar-e-Toiba first fights Soviets in Afghanistan then switches to Kashmir

1988- President Zia Ul-Haq killed at Dhaka in a plane crash.

-Ul Haq’s successor, President Ishaq Khan brings back democracy.

Benazir Bhutto Prime Minister.

1988- Aslam Beg of the Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) forms a coalition of religious parties (the IJI) against Bhutto. When the relgious coaltion loses, the ISI throws its support behind her rival, Nawaz Sharif, then Chief Minister of Punjab.

1988- Benazir Bhutto elected Prime Minister. She takes Pakistan back into the Commonwealth.

1990- constant challenges from a conservatrive presidency leads to the dismissal of Benzir’s Bhutto’s government. She is charged with corruption charges in an offensice believed to be backed by the ISI. Her husband is also placed under arrest for corruption.

Bhutto Ousted.

1990- ISI brokers another coalition against Bhutto and raises large amounts of money to back Sharif gainst Bhutto

-Nawaz Sharif succeeds Benazir Bhutto as prime minister in an election believed to have been rigged with the assistance of the ISI.

1991- unrest in Sindh. Meanwhile Benazir Bhutto goes on an international lecture tour

1990s- internal instability due to constant charges of political corruption.

Bhutto re-elected.

1993- Benazir Bhutto leads opposition to Nawaz Sharif,

-Bhutto elected prime minister of a coalition government. Her regime is plagued by crime, the drugs trade, separatist unrest in Balushistan and Sindh and tribal unrest in the north west frontier.

- after her election, Bhutto is forced to relinquish all decision-making on nuclear matters to the army, in return for its support.

-Bhutto goes on to purge much of the military general staff of ISI supporters. As a result the military chief, Aslan Beg, (a loyalist of the one-time Zia Ul Haw distatorship) gets her excluded from all military decision-making.

-Harkat ul Ansar for Kahsmir Liberation, founded with the help, arms and training of the ISI-. It is a fusion of two Afhgan Jihadist groups Harkat ul Jihad al-Islami and Harkat ul Mujahideen. The leader of harkat ul Absar si Amjad Farooqi.

-the British-made Durand line lapses after 100 years.. Tribal leaders don’t recognize it. It is said to be "marked out on water'. Pakistan wants Kabul to accept the line. Kabul is reluctant to lose its claim to "south Pashtunistan." (Balushistan)

1994- the Taliban, bolstered and supported (and some say, founded) by Pakistan’s Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) in Quetta, Pakistan,- crosses into Afghanistan and takes Kandahar .

-the Taliban refuse to accept the Durand line that determines the border with Pakistan.

Bhutto Dismissed.

-1995- Bhutto encourages the formation of the Taliban, seeing it as a friendly Muslim party that will link Pakistan to trade with Central Asia.

1996- Benazir Bhutto’s government is dismissed by President Leghari on new charges of corruption and mismanagement.

1997- Feb. Benazir Bhutto is defeated in elections. She is succeeded by Nawaz Sharif and becomes leader of the opposition.

-Sharif removes a constitutional amendment which gives the president the power to dismiss the prime minister.

1998- Sharif resists pressure from the army to allow the generals a say in government.

Oct. 1- Sharif brings in Islamic law.

1999- Benazir Bhutto removed as a member of parliament and along with her husband is tried, fined and sentenced for corruption.

-Benazir Bhutto chooses self-imposed exile in Dubai.

1999- Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, though democratically elected, puts water and power under the control of the army.

-Sharif begins to establish Islamic law throughout the country, despite widespread protest.

-Sharif withdraws the army from Kashmir and dismisses its head, General Musharraf, angering the army.

-Musharraf dismisses Sharif. Sharif agrees to go into exile rather than face criminal charges.

General Musharraf seizes power.

-General Musharraf takes power in a military coup. Musharraf suspends the constitution, asserts control over the judiciary and parliament.

The Lahore Declaration and Renwed Problems in Kashmir.

1999-Lahore Declaration. India and Pakistan swear to settle differences by negotiation.

1999- 600 Islamic militia from Pakistan occupy Indian Kashmir, provoking retaliatory air strikes from India.

9/11: Musharaff Sides with Washington.

2001- after the 9/11 attacks, Washington coerces Musharraf into supporting the US War on terror. But this gains Pakistan badly needed international loans.

-India and Pakistan mass troops along the LOC as tensions build again in Kashmir.

-to placate angry Islamists, Musharraf takes a softer policy on Kashmir.

-PPP member Raza Gillani convicted by Musharraf's anti-corruption court of making illegal government appointments. He serves five years in jail. The PPP claims the prosecution was aimed at forcing PPP members to join the Musharraf government

-Dec 13, - attack on Indian parliament carried out by Pakistan-based militant groups, Jaish e Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Toiba

2002- after the US invasion of Afghanistan, the Taliban are pushed into the border tribal areas of Baluchistan.

-Pakistan begins a troop build-up along the border with Afhganistan.

-Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence Agency (ISI) helps to form the the King's Party a coalition of Pakistan Muslim parties to back his election as president. The MMA, a large alliance of religious parties, the King's Party and Bhutto's PPP are the largest parties in parliament.

-many believe the MMA was patched together by the ISI to support Musharraf.

-the MMA forms an alliance with the 'King;s party' to back Musharraf in the elections.

Musharraf Consolidates Power, extends Dictatorship,

-Musharraf wins presidential elections. He gains 5 more years in office in a referendum criticized as unconstitutional and biased. He awards himself sweeping new powers.-2002- Musharraf election.

-after Musharraf is elected, an amenndment known as the 'legal framework order' gives him a five year term plus the power over many civil institutions and the power to dismiss national and state assemblies. The MMA is indispensable in getting the 'Legal Framework Order' passed into law. The parliament becomes Musharraf's instrument.

-Musharraf bans the Islamist groups Lashkar-e-Toiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad.

-Parliamentary elections result in a deadlock with increased power for the religious parties.

-Pakistan tests missiles that have nuclear capability.

Daniel Pearl.

-Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl is murdered in Karachi by decapitation while investigating local links to the 9/ll attack. His killer , Ahmed Omar Saeed Sheikh of the
Jaish e Mohammed Islamist group is later arrested and executed.

The Islamist Threat and the ISI

2003- the Northwest Frontier Province votes for Sharia law.

-when Misharraf considers cracking down on the Taliban, his main supporter, the MMA sponsors mass demonstrations and thretens to withdraw its support

-Washington asks the ISI to hand over al Qaeda militants, but the ISI only hands over foreign Al Qaeda foot soldiers.

-ceasefire between India and Pakistan in Kashmir.

-Dec. attempt on Musharraf’s life as his motorcade is bombed.

-2003-2004- winter. The Pakistan army launches assaults against the Taliban and al Qaeda in Waziristan.

2004- nuclear scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan admits to having leaked nuclear secrets to North Korea. He is placed under house arrest to placate Washington.

-Sunni-Shia violence in Karachi.

-March and June offensives against al Qaeda in the Afghan border area.

-Musharraf extends his term as head of the army.

- assassination attempt on Pakistan Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz.

-afer Islamist leader Amjad Farooqi is killed in shoot out with police in Karachi, Matiur Rehman takes his place.

-Matiur Rehman -alleged to have been involved in bombing of the Sheraton Hotel in Karachi.

2004-2005- due to losses in the Waziristan offensive against the Taliban and al Qaeda, Pakistan makes various peace deals with local Taliban-supporting tribes. The Taliba effectively control Waziristan.

-Dec. 2005- Abu faraj al-Libbi- al Queada leader No. 3- involved in an attempt on Musharraff at Rawalpindi. Libbi is arrested in Mardan. Matiur Rehman is wanted in connection ith the same plot.

-July 2005- Rehman invovled in another plot on Musharraf- disrupted by police.

2005- Baluchistan tribal militants bomb natural gas plant, forcing its closure.

-after July transit bombings in London, 200 militants from radical madrasas and elsewhere are detained in Pakistan

-an earthquake kills tens of thousands in Muzaffarabad.

2006- Pakistani civilians killed in a US missile strike near the Pakistan border in Waziristan.

15-17 Feb.- Afghan President Karzai visits Musharaff to ask him to stop Taliban infiltration from Pakistan. Karzai identifies Afghan commaders in Quetta among other areas of Pakistan. Musharraf says Afghan intelligence is unreliable and complains to Karzai about weapons smuggling into Bluchistan.

-Feb-March- Sunni-Shia violence in Karachi.

-March- attack on the US consulate kills State Dept FSO David Foy . Matiur Rehman is a leading suspect in planning the attack. Jundullah, reportedly led by Rahaman, may have been involved.

mid-July- Pakistani gov't orders crackdown on Taliban: police arrest more than 200 Afghans in Baluchistan- allegedly many were not Taliban.

The London Airline Terror PLot.

-Aug. 2- Pakistani security arrests Rashid Rauf in attempted London airline bombings. Still at large, his superior, Matiur Rehman worked as deputy for Amjad Farooqi’s Harkat ul Ansar- for Kahsmir Liberation

-Pakistan's SSG discovers through the arrest of Rashid Rauf that Lakshar –e- Toiba is linked to a terror group in the UK. Lashkar-e-Toyaba is also blamed for the Mumbai train bombings in July.

-many of the 9 London airline plot suspects arrested in Pakistan are 'facilitators' linked to Jiash e Mohammed and Lashkar e Toiba which provide safe houses and funds.

-Sept- Pakistan signs a treaty in Waziristan with the Taliban, promising that the army will withdraw to its bases, provided that the Taliban restrict their attacks to Afghanistan.

-Oct. -many of the British Pakistanis later suspected in the August 2006 attempted airline bombings in London travelled to Muzaffarabad as humanitarian earthquake relief in Jamiat ud Dawa, whose umbrella organization is Lashakr e Toiba. Membrs of the al Qaeda-linked Jundullah, a Pakistani terror group took them to training camps in Waziristan before returning to relief camps.

Oct. -raid on a seminary in Bajaur in the border tribal agencies, kills up to 80. Anti-government protests follow.

-Oct. -many of the British Pakistanis later suspected in the August 2006 attempted airline bombings in London travelled to Muzaffarabad as humanitarian earthquake relief in Jamiat ud Dawa, whose umbrella organization is Lashakr e Toiba. Membrs of the al Qaeda-linked Jundullah, a Pakistani terror group took them to training camps in Waziristan before returning to relief camps.

The Red Mosque.

2007- Pakistan rejects US claims that al Qaeda members are hiding in Pakistan.

-January- tensions increase around the radical Red Mosque in Islamabad.
-Feb-April- local tribes in Waziristan turn against foegin Taliban fighters for criminal activities and disrupting public order.

-Feb- the Mariott hotel in Islamabad is bombed.

-the New-Dehhi, India-Lahore